Week 6 Thursday Night Showdown on Draftkings
Broncos vs Chiefs DraftKings Showdown
Showdown Captain mode is a DraftKings tournament where you have $50,000 to create a lineup using 6 players from a standalone single game. One of those players will be your captain. The captain costs 1.5 times their salary and will accumulate 1.5 times the points. As with every slate, GAME THEORY IS INCREDIBLY IMPORTANT. Even more so in Showdown, you want your lineup to tell a story of how the game will go. There are a lot of options based on how you see the game going but ALWAYS make sure there’s correlation between your players.
Broncos @ Chiefs
Spread: KC -10.5
Over/Under: 47.5
Injuries to Monitor
Travis Kelce tweaked his ankle on Sunday. He has been practicing on a limited basis and should be able to play.
Greg Dulcich has a hamstring injury that forced him on the IR but could be set to return. It’s unlikely that he returns on a short week.
More: Fantasy Football Trades You Need To Make Before Week 6
Breakdown
The Broncos are 1-4 to start the season and are an absolute dumpster fire on defense. They’ve allowed the 2nd most passing yards and the most rushing yards by almost 200 yards. Offensively they’ve faired a little better as they’ve thrown the 3rd most passing TDs and are top 10 in pass yards per attempt. They’ve also averaged 4.9 yards per rush which is 4th most in the league.
The Chiefs have won four straight games since losing the season opener. They’ve been good offensively but not to the normal Chiefs standards. They’re top ten in passing yards and top five in passing TDs. Defensively they’re middle of the pack in passing yards allowed and have allowed the 12th least rushing yards.
The Chiefs are the obvious side in this one as heavy favorites at home. I’ll use Mahomes and Kelce as captains but will actually be a little underweight. This Denver defense is pathetic but I could see the Chiefs taking their foot off the gas late. I actually prefer Pacheco as captain. It’s very difficult to project anyone on this offense outside of those three with how spread out the usage is.
On the Broncos side it’s clearly Wilson. He’s been productive for the most part this year. As heavy underdogs he’ll have to throw a ton. You can make a case for Jeudy or Sutton at captain but there have been so many WRs involved it’s hard to trust them. I may sprinkle Javonte in a couple larger field lineups as captain but need to see his health status first. Similar to the Chiefs side there are too many receivers getting involved to feel very comfortable with any of them but Jeudy and Sutton should have the most upside.
Captain/Flex
Patrick Mahomes $19,200/$12,800
Mahomes has thrown multiple TDs in all but one game this season. Denver has allowed 9.1 yards per pass attempt which is highest in the league. They’re also bottom five in passing yards allowed and have allowed the most TDs through the air.
Travis Kelce $16,500/$11,000
Kelce is a lil banged up but it looks like he’ll play. Kelce leads TEs in TDs despite missing a game. He has a 25% target share and has been targeted on a ridiculous 37% of his routes. Even a less than 100% Kelce is worth a play with how terrible this defense is.
Isiah Pacheco $14,100/$9,400
Pacheco has averaged 15.75 rush attempts over the last four weeks. He also leads the backfield in targets and receptions. Denver has allowed the most yards, yards per attempt and rushing TDs to opposing RBs this season.
Russell Wilson $14,400/$9,600
Wilson is actually the QB8 on the season and is tied for the 2nd most passing TDs. He’s thrown multiple TDs in all but one game. Wilson has also looked more elusive this year and is averaging 6.6 yards carry. The Chiefs are bottom ten in passing yards allowed per game.
The Rest
Javonte Williams $7,200
Javonte has been a disappointment this season but he is coming off a major knee injury. He should get healthier as the season goes on and seems to be past the quad injury. I’m willing to bank on his talent. He’s averaging just under three receptions per game.
Courtland Sutton $7,800
Sutton leads the team in targets, yards, routes run and receptions. I also believe Sutton has the most TD upside. Last week wasn’t great against a formidable Jets Defense but Sutton had previously averaged 14.4 DraftKings points per game.
Jerry Jeudy $9,000
Jeudy missed week 1 but since he’s come back he leads the team in receptions and air yards. He has a 21.4% target share and a 14 yard ADOT over that span. He’s involved enough that he could be the one that is needed from the Denver side.
Jaleel McLaughlin $7,000
McLaughlin looked good last week against a tough Jets defense. Over the last two weeks he’s had at least three receptions and scored a TD in both games. He’s averaged 70 yards rushing yards and 26.5 yards receiving. With how productive he’s been he will definitely be involved even with Javonte back.
Rashee Rice $6,400
Rice has the 2nd most targets, receptions and TDs among KC pass catchers. In an extremely volatile and crowded WR room, Rice looks to have the best chance at a TD which makes me lean towards him as an option but it’s impossible to project any receiver’s success on a week to week basis.
Marvin Mims Jr $4,600
Mims is not seeing nearby enough playing time for the skill he possesses. He’s averaging a ridiculous 24.6 yards per reception and has a 20.3 yard ADOT. His big play ability could allow him to pay off his salary on one play.
Jerick McKinnon $5,200
McKinnon is playing less than a third of snaps this season and saw 27% of snaps last week. While the usage isn’t there we did see a two TD game already from McKinnon once this year.
Samaje Perine $5,000
Perine is likely taking a backseat to Javonte and McLaughlin in this one. He should still see some carries and targets and with all the value on the slate being so volatile he could still be a good play on this slate.
Noah Gray $4,400
Gray isn’t very involved but if Kelce is limited he could see an increase in usage. He also has a chance at a TD on any slate when tied to Mahomes.
Sky Moore $5,400
Kadarius Toney $4,000
Marquez Valdez Scantling $3,400
Justin Watson $2,200
What a mess. All are involved but not heavily and it could be any one of them on any given week. I’d likely prefer Watson and MVS due to their higher ADOTs but Sky Moore and Toney can do more with the ball in their hands. I’ll take the savings and hope it pays off. This is a complete dart throw.
Greg Dulcich $3,200
It’s unlikely that Dulcich plays but if he does I’ll play him. He’s talented enough that this price is too low for him.
Brandon Johnson $1,200
Johnson has ran the third most routes among Denver WRs but is tied for the team lead in TDs. That’s basically what you’re hoping for is a TD considering he’s only seen one target in back to back weeks.
Adam Trautman $2,800
Trautman matched his season high in targets and scored a TD for the first time this season. He has three games where he’s been held without a catch but caught four and five balls in the other two. If he catches four balls or scores a TD he easily pays off this price tag.
Clyde Edwards Helaire $1,000
CEH has only had three carries in back to back games. He did have 15 carries in the blowout against the Bears. If this game gets out of hand he’ll get opportunities but otherwise probably doesn’t payoff.
Justyn Ross $600
Ross actually saw four targets last week but that could be an anomaly. He’s only a cheap dart throw to try and fit more players up top.
RANKINGS | DYNASTY | WEEKLY |
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