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Week 15 Dynasty Buys, Sells, & Stash

Whether you’re in the thick of a championship run, in full-blown rebuild mode, or somewhere in between, you need a gameplan for your dynasty roster. I’m here to help you navigate the tricky world of dynasty team building no matter your situation. Every week through the end of the season, I will provide buys and sells for both contenders and rebuild teams plus my stash of the week.

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Buy Drake London 

Drake London has not had the season we envisioned for him when he was taken as the eighth overall pick and first wide receiver off the board, at least from a raw numbers standpoint. However, his peripherals are pretty special. Per PlayerProfiler.com, London’s 28.1% target share sits at No.10 among all wide receivers. His rate of targets per route (30.1%) is No.8. He has two 12-target games and has had a 30% share or higher in five games, including 50% in Week 13. The only problem is, his quarterback is terrible and the team averages 23.1 pass attempts per game. Only the Bears have attempted fewer. Still, London ranks 13th in red zone targets and top-24 in both air yards (885; 23rd) and unrealized air yards (540; 11th), meaning he is not just seeing targets (within the context of his offense) but he’s seeing valuable targets.

London is a quarterback upgrade away from being a top-10 dynasty wide receiver. Help could be on the way as early as Week 15 with the team announcing they are turning the keys over to rookie Desmond Ridder for the rest of the season. Whether Ridder is the answer or not is to be determined, but one way or another we can anticipate better days ahead for London. 

Buy George Pickens

While quarterback play and overall offensive efficiency have been a problem for George Pickens as well, the former Bulldog has shown enough to get excited about his future prospects. Pickens has scored as a top-24 wide receiver on four occasions, including twice inside the top-12. The weekly results have varied, but Pickens has consistently seen opportunities down the field. He’s top-20 in both air yards and unrealized air yards, while ranking sixth and seventh in average target distance (14.8) and deep targets (19), respectively (PlayerProfiler). As we predicted after the NFL Draft, it didn’t take long for Pickens to supplant Chase Claypool for the WR2 job in Pittsburgh. Not only did he push Claypool down the depth chart, but he ultimately gave the team enough confidence to move on from Claypool altogether. There have even been a few moments where it has felt like Pickens was pushing Diontae Johnson for the top spot. With the continued development of his quarterback, we can look forward to a breakout 2023 season for this playmaker. 

Buy Rashod Bateman

Rashod Bateman was a top breakout candidate heading into the season. While it was short-lived, he showed enough to continue to be excited about his career. He started strong with a touchdown in each of the first two games and a 100-yard outing against Miami. In his five healthy games, Bateman commanded targets, averaging a 21.5% share. His targets per route (25.5%) ranks top-25 among wide receivers. He ranks top-15 in average target distance and yards per route while ranking eighth in yards per target and leading the NFL with 19 yards per reception (PlayerProfiler.com). 

Of course, it’s a small sample size but it’s a window into Bateman’s ability to command valuable opportunities. He also displayed a great ability to get open by “winning” on 51% of his routes according to PlayerProfiler’s route win rate metric, ranking No.13, and sitting at No.10 in average yards of separation from his defender at the time of the catch. Finally, Bateman ranks No.13 in PlayerProfiler’s production premium metric which compares a receiver’s production to league average in similar situations (down-and-distance, field position, etc.).

The bottom line is Bateman is good. We didn’t get to see much from him, but it was enough to confirm that he is as talented as we believed coming into the season. Hopefully he’ll have a healthy offseason and can stay on the field in 2023. The cost is low in dynasty right now so take advantage. 

Week 1 targets

Sell Christian Watson 

Speaking of Chase Claypool, Packers rookie Christian Watson is giving off major Claypool vibes. Remember how hot Claypool ran with touchdowns during his rookie season? After struggling to carve out a role in the first half of the season, Watson has suddenly come on to score seven touchdowns in the last four weeks. He, like Claypool in 2020, had a three-touchdown game. While there are indicators that Watson will not have the fall that Claypool is experiencing, the insane touchdown rate will not be sustained. In fact, his dynasty value may never be as high as it is right now. What happens when he is competing with actual wide receiver talent rather than Allen Lazard, Randall Cobb, and Romeo Doubs for targets? I’m not holding him long enough to find out.

 

Stash of the Week: Skyy Moore

We loved Skyy Moore coming out of college, even before he landed in the Patrick Mahomes offense. Unfortunately, his rookie season has not played out the way we had hoped. From multiple muffed punts, dropped passes, and a struggle to carve out any sort of role on offense, it has been a disaster. But when we consider he was an early-declare from a small school, we can’t be all that shocked that it’s taking him a minute to get acclimated to the NFL game. There have been some positives, like his back-to-back five reception games in Weeks 11 and 12, for example. Or his 2.15 target separation (PlayerProfiler) which would rank among the best if the sample size was enough to qualify.

Coming out of Western Michigan, we loved Moore’s combination of speed, explosion, versatility, and quickness. He is a dynamic playmaker who lined up all over the formation in college. The Chiefs have both of their top wide receivers (Juju Smith-Schuster and Marquez Valdes-Scantling) on one year deals so there could surely be more opportunities for Moore in his second season. 

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