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Screaming 2022 Fantasy Football Values In The AFC East
If you’ve ever sat down at a poker table, you know there’s no better feeling than when the cards fall perfectly your way. Staring down at that monster hand, there’s only one thing on your mind; how much can value can I squeeze out of the poor souls sitting next to me? While you know you have the winner, it’s in your best interest to have cast out your line and reel in your opponents hook, line, and sinker to get the maximum return for your hand. A popular poker-blogging YouTuber, Brad Owen calls this situation “taking them to Value Town.” It’s similar in Fantasy Football, where there is value oozing throughout the draft. If you target these AFC East values, at the end of the season it will be Value Town, population you.
Hunter Henry, Tight End, New England Patriots
Mac Jones’s best friend is our pick from the New England Patriots. Henry sits at the 12th Tight End off the board with an average draft position of 11.05. He finished last season as the TE 10 in his first season in New England, turning 75 targets into a line of 50 receptions, 603 yards, and 9 touchdowns. Furthermore, Henry finished second in the league in touchdowns, just behind Travis Kelce. They were also miles ahead of the next Patriots receiver (Kendrick Bourne with just 5). While Henry started off slow due to Jones’s first-ever NFL starts, from Week 4 on, Henry was remarkably consistent, averaging 11 points per contest.
Now, Henry gets both a full off-season with his quarterback, and a full-offseason in the Patriots’ system. Inexplicably though, people draft him after Tight Ends like Pat Freiermuth, a second-year player likely catching throws from a rookie Quarterback, and Mike Gesicki, whose receiving room is now jam-packed with the additions of Tyreek Hill, Cedrick Wilson, and Chase Edmonds. Do not make this mistake. If you fail to get a top option, Henry allows you to have a deep roster at every other position while getting a strong level of consistency from a notoriously inconsistent position. Target him and you won’t regret it.
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Chase Edmonds, Running Back, Miami Dolphins
Why on earth is Chase Edmonds all the way down at RB 34? Edmonds, currently sitting at an ADP of 10.03, had a fairly productive season last year, finishing as the RB 34 in just twelve games, posting a line of 116/592/2 on the ground (all career highs), and 43/311/0 on 53 targets. While Edmonds was productive in a complimentary role to James Conner, he showed his true talent in Weeks 16 and 17 while Conner was out injured. During those two games, Edmonds averaged a snap count of 86%, and turned that into lines of 16/56/1 and 18/53/0 on the ground, and 8/71/0 and 5/29, ending up as the RB 9 for those weeks.
After playing second-fiddle in Arizona, Edmonds got the bag this off-season, securing a 2 year $12.6 million-dollar contract with $6.1 million guaranteed. This was substantially more than his fellow FA signing, Raheem Mostert, who received just a 1 year $3.25 million dollar contract, and has only played nine games over the past two seasons. Following the money, Edmonds commands lead-back duties behind what a much-improved offensive line, with the likes of Tyreek Hill preventing opposing teams from pinning their ears back to get at Edmonds. At the meager cost of an RB 3, give me that value and that upside all day, every day.
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Jamison Crowder, Wide Receiver, Buffalo Bills
Traditionally, I tend to focus heavily on RBs in my first five rounds and fill out my roster after with multiple WRs. I’ve found that there are consistently two types of late-round WRs; either a flashy or promising rookie that will either smash or be cut by week three, or the high-ceiling, low floor receivers that can fill in when you’re in a pinch. Crowder, who is currently going as the WR 63 with an ADP of 14.06, may seem like he fits so squarely in that second category, but he could be so much more.
Cole Beasley, the slot receiver Crowder will likely replace, has been quietly effective in his role as Josh Allen’s underneath man, posting finishes of WR 34, 27, and 39 over the past three years. Meanwhile, in 2021, Crowder and Beasley had quite similar points per game (9.7 and 10.2 respectively). This is despite Beasley being a part of the 5th ranked passing offense, and Crowder dealt with the 26th ranked passing offense, not to mention having to rely on some truly awful QB play out of Zach Wilson and Co. Nothing on film suggested Crowder ever lost a step, and should he remain healthy in this significantly better offense, it appears a top-36 finish could be his floor. For a pick value where half your league has already closed out of the draft app, I will sure as heck take that boost to my WR corps.
Elijah Moore, Wide Receiver, New York Jets
Elijah Moore is a second-year WR out of Ole Miss currently being drafted as the WR 38 with an ADP of 8.08. Moore had a deceivingly impressive rookie season, amassing 77 targets for a line of 43/538/5. While that stat line may not seem initially productive, when you dive a little deeper, you find that Moore only played 11 games last year, and after the teams Week 6 Bye was the WR 3 OVERALL from Weeks 7 to 13, an impressive seven-week stretch.
While injury ended Moore’s rookie campaign, there are reasons to be optimistic. A full off-season of work with Zack Wilson plus some heavy improvements in Free Agency and the Draft to the Jets offense are all positives for the young talent, as teams can’t focus on just him. For his price, Moore easily has top 15 upside on what should be a much-improved offense. Draft Moore with confidence this season.
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