Super Bowl LVI Prop Bets
Good Morning and welcome to the moment we have all been waiting for! This is Drew and I’s Superbowl prop bet finale, each week we got head to head with our props and track our past success. Each unit is equal to $5.00’s though this is merely advice and we strongly encourage you to bet within your means. If you think you have a gambling problem click here to get help.
After two long weeks of no football, we are once again given an opportunity to enjoy it one, last, time. Without further ado, lets jump into Drew and I’s props for the Superbowl.
Drew’s Record: 10-18 (-7.5 Units)
RAMS -4 (-110 – 1 UNIT RETURNS $4.54)
Only six times in the Super Bowl era has the winning team not covered. That’s just 10.9% of the time. I’m taking the Rams to win, so I’ll take them to cover as well.
OPENING KICKOFF TO RESULT IN A TOUCHBACK – NO (+110 – 1 UNIT RETURNS $5.25)
This came to my attention Monday afternoon listening to the Pat McAfee Show. McAfee kicked off a Super Bowl in his rookie year and noted the process that goes into the opening kickoff on his show. From the pregame to what happens with the ball after kickoff, he broke it down here. To back this up, this result has happened in 26 of the last 28 Super Bowls. And at plus money? Sign me up.
1ST QUARTER vs. 3RD QUARTER – MOST POINTS SCORED – 3RD QUARTER (-120 – 1 UNIT RETURNS $4.16)
Over the last ten Super Bowls, this prop is 8-1-1. In that span, the average points scored in the first quarter is 6.9 points, compared to 13.2 points in the third quarter. In the Bengals three postseason games this season, the combined score was higher in the third quarter than the first quarter twice. It’s happened in all three of the Rams postseason games. I’m rolling with the trends and more points scored in the third quarter than the first.
COOPER KUPP OVER 105.5 RECEIVING YARDS (-115 – 1 UNIT RETURNS $4.34)
The NFL Offensive Player of the Year has dominated since Odell Beckham Jr. joined the team. He’s topped 105 receiving yards in eight of 11 games played with Beckham. In that stretch, he’s averaged 119.5 yards per game. The three he failed included a 95 and 96-yard game, and the blowout against Arizona in the wild-card round of the playoffs. I’ll roll with the over for Kupp.
Britt’s Record: 14-10 (+5 Units)
Matt Gay has been struggling a with a lingering issue that happened during warm ups in the divisional game causing him to to go two for three field goals, both of which were 40 yards or less. On the contrary, Evan “Money Mac Daddy” McPherson has been perfect in the postseason with several field goals beyond 50 yards. I think this is a great prop since the popular game script is a lower scoring affair, offering more chances for Money Mac Daddy to keep cranking out long bombs. The thorn in the side of this is that at the moment when it matters the most McPherson gets the yips and isn’t able to convert, or his longest kick gets blocked.
TEE HIGGINS OVER 69.5 RECEIVING YARDS – (-120 – 1.5 Units $7.50 RETURNS $6.25)
With Chase likely to get the Jalen Ramsey treatment it offers up a much more incentivizing matchup for Tee Higgins. Higgins after a rough wild card round with only 10 receiving yards has had 96 and 103 yard receiving yards the following games. Higgins is looking at Darious Williams for this matchup, which is a plus for Higgins since Williams doesn’t rank in the Top-30 in any meaningful metric according to player profiler. The thorn here is that the Rams create so much pressure on Burrow that Boyd is the beneficiary and not Higgins.
JOE BURROW UNDER 10.5 RUSHING YARDS – (-105 – 1 Units $5.00 RETURNS $4.76)
This season Burrow has rushed over 10 yards only six times, that is a 28.57-percent success rate. This number has been inflated due to his heroics against the Chiefs where he tied his season high of 25 rushing yards. The crux of this prop here is that Burrow is a tactical scrambler, he will get enough to get a first but won’t take an unnecessary hit to gain a few more yards. The thorn here is that Burrow accumulates enough small scrambles that he surpasses 10 yards just barely.
This one’s for fun here, the harder the opponent the less the Bengals have scored in the first half. They were -7 against the Raiders in the first half, -6 against the Titans and +11 against the Chiefs. Zac Taylor himself admits the Bengals are a team set up for the second half. The Bengals being run heavy on first and second downs, being slowed down as the postseason has gone on and facing the most difficult defense yet sets this prop up nicely. The risk, and there are many, is that the Bengals are in such deep hope they’re unable to continue their late game heroics to mount a comeback. If you don’t want to take this bet, taking Rams -3 first half and also taking the first half under are ways to cash in while protecting your bank roll.
2022 BEST BALL NOW AVAILABLE ON UNDERDOG! | PROMO CODE: YARDSPER
RANKINGS | DYNASTY | BEST BALL
Outlast DFS| Use Promo Code: YPF200 for a 100% deposit match up to $200!
