Opportunity is king when it comes to fantasy football production. Therefore, it is important to be aware of each player’s opportunity share. Past opportunity helps us predict future usage and, in turn, future fantasy output. But I understand that not every fantasy gamer has the time or resources to stay on top of the recent trends. So, I am doing the research for you.
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As a weekly series here at Create-A-Rank, I look at every box score, track target share, snap share, and air yards. I compile all of the trends that I find useful or interesting here in order to help you make better lineup and roster decisions. Pair this with our weekly rankings, WRs vs CBs Matchups chart, and other articles to give your teams an edge over the competition. Without further ado, here is everything I took away from an exciting Week 11 of snaps, targets, air yards, and trends.
Game Day Stats
- Bo Scarbrough ran 14 times for 55 yards and a touchdown in his Lions debut. Other Lions RBs combined for five carries.
- Leonard Fournette had a season-low eight rush attempts.
- With Marlon Mack leaving early with a hand injury, Jonathan Williams carried 13 times for 116 yards. He added one catch on one target for 31 yards.
- Kalen Ballage: nine carries for nine yards (one TD) and five receptions for eight yards.
- 72-percent of Brandon Allen’s pass attempts went to Courtland Sutton (9), Noah Fant (11), and Tim Patrick (8).
- Alvin Kamara has seen 10 targets in each of the last two games.
- Bucs RBs combined for six rush attempts for 13 yards.
- Redskins RB touches: Adrian Peterson: 11, Derrius Guice: 8, Wendell Smallwood: 1.
- Brian Hill out-touched all other Falcons RBs 16 to seven.
- Ryan Finley has completed just 47.6-percent of his passes in two starts.
Snap Share
- Cardinals backfield snap share: Kenyan Drake 88-percent, David Johnson 13-percent.
- Falcons backfield snap share without Devonta Freeman: Brian Hill 60-percent, Kenjon Barner 22-percent, Qadree Ollison 18-percent.
- Devin Singletary played a season-high 74-percent of the snaps in Week 11 and has played at least 66-percent in each of the last four games.
- Joe Mixon played 59-percent of the snaps after recording a season-high 76-percent in Week 10.
- Kareem Hunt has played 54-percent and 55-percent of the snaps in his first two games with the Browns.
- Phillip Lindsay played a season-high 64-percent of the snaps in Week 11 while Royce Freeman played a season-low 30-percent.
- Lions backfield snap share in Week 11: Bo Scarbrough 49-percent, Ty Johnson 29-percent, JD McKissic 23-percent.
- With Marlon Mack exiting early with a hand injury, Jonathan Williams played 46-percent of the snaps.
- Leonard Fournette played a season-low 71-percent of the snaps.
- Le’Veon Bell played a season-low 55-percent of the snaps. His previous season-low was 74-percent in Week 10.
- Miles Sanders played 85-percent of the snaps with Jordan Howard inactive.
- With Matt Breida inactive, Tevin Coleman and Raheem Mostert each played on 49-percent of the 49ers snaps. Jeff Wilson played 1-percent.
- Redskins backfield snap share: Wendell Smallwood 46-percent, Derrius Guice 29-percent, Adrian Peterson 23-percent.
- Amari Cooper played just 55-percent of the snaps.
- Broncos WR Tim Patrick played 73-percent of the snaps in his return from injury.
- N’Keal Harry played 43-percent of the snaps in his NFL debut.
Target Rate
- Christian Kirk has seen a target rate of 20-percent or higher in seven of his eight games.
- Calvin Ridley saw a season-high 25-percent target share.
- John Brown saw a season-high 42-percent target share in Week 11 and has seen a target rate of at least 23-percent in eight of 10 games.
- D.J. Moore has received a target share of at least 24-percent in eight of 10 games.
- Allen Robinson saw a season-low 13-percent of the Bears targets. His previous low was 20-percent in Week 8.
- Tyler Boyd saw a season-low 10-percent of the Bengals targets.
- Tim Patrick saw 20-percent of the Broncos targets.
- DeAndre Hopkins has received a target share of 29-percent or higher in five straight games.
- D.J. Chark saw 32-percent of the targets in Nick Foles’ return.
- Stefon Diggs has failed to reach a 20-percent target rate six times this season, including each of the last three.
- Robby Anderson has seen a 10-percent target share in each of the last three games.
- For the first time since Week 1, both Chris Godwin and Mike Evans were held below a 20-percent target share in the same game.
Top-Five WRs in Week 11 target rate:
- John Brown 42-percent
- DeAndre Hopkins 40-percent
- Josh Reynolds 33-percent
- D.J. Chark 32-percent
- Michael Thomas/Odell Beckham 31-percent
Top-Five RBs in Week 11 target rate:
- Alvin Kamara 29-percent
- Christian McCaffrey 28-percent
- Kareem Hunt 25-percent
- Kenyan Drake 21-percent
- Dalvin Cook/Nyheim Hines/Todd Gurley 17-percent
Top-Five TEs in Week 11 target rate:
- Noah Fant 28-percent
- Zach Ertz 28-percent
- Cameron Brate 27-percent
- Darren Waller 24-percent
- Eric Ebron 17-percent
Top-15 in Week 11 Air Yards (% Team Share) (AirYards.com)
- D.J. Chark 218 (52)
- Johnny Holton 195 (45)
- John Brown 172 (61)
- Courtland Sutton 168 (35)
- Michael Gallup 161 (35)
- D.J. Moore 156 (48)
- Mike Williams 145 (35)
- Julian Edelman 144 (31)
- DeAndre Hopkins 142 (63)
- Calvin Ridley 124 (43)
- Odell Beckham 122 (46)
- Amari Cooper 120 (26)
- Mike Evans 119 (26)
- Julio Jones 116 (4)
- Tim Patrick 115 (24)
The Tweet Zone
In John Brown We Trust https://t.co/fL6VqE9Wgv
— Lee (@MaddenRevBears) November 19, 2019
OJ Howard needs a new home.
He was benched after one bad play.
He must be checked out. There must have been strife between he and Arians.
It’s a miss for me, as I had been touting OJ as the TE3 in dynasty, but I’m convinced this goes beyond the field of play.
— Jax Falcone (scott) 🚫 (@DynoGameTheory) November 18, 2019
Need proof of how dumb #NFL coaches are?
They’re still challenging pass interference. pic.twitter.com/vxbW3uziX9
— Alex Johnson (@a_johnsonFF) November 17, 2019
Activation. 🤬🤬🤬🤬🤬 pic.twitter.com/BLw5cmZgIG
— Chief David Njoku (@David_Njoku80) November 17, 2019
https://t.co/o4PBTIWix7 pic.twitter.com/oeALnekg4F
— Alex Johnson (@a_johnsonFF) November 18, 2019
Over the last three weeks, here are the wide receivers ranking top-5 in market share of their team's air yards:
1. Tyreek Hill (57%)
2. DeAndre Hopkins (50%)
3. John Brown (47%) 👀
4. Odell Beckham Jr (46%)
5. Davante Adams (43%)One of them is more surprising than the others.
— Kate Magdziuk (@katemagdziuk) November 18, 2019
Ok. So I got thinking –
2020 Big Board (Dynasty Rookie Draft Board – Superflex)
Joe Burrow
Jonathan Taylor
Deandre Swift
JK Dobbins
Travis Etienne
CeeDee Lamb
Tua Tagovailoa
Chuba Hubbard
Jerry Jeudy
Justin Herbert
Cam Akers
Tyler Johnson @MyFantasyLeague— Jax Falcone (scott) 🚫 (@DynoGameTheory) November 18, 2019
