Rachaad White 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook
Rachaad White 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook
Rachaad White was the steal of fantasy football drafts in 2023. No one was pounding the table harder for White than me. He ended the season as a top-5 running back in PPR formats (RB10 in FPPG) after spending the summer as a round six/seven pick. Yet, somehow that all seems to be forgotten because White is once again falling to the sixth round in Underdog ADP. It doesn’t make any sense.
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White is one of the NFL’s only true bellcow running backs. He simply doesn’t come off the field. White was No. 4 in snap share last season (77.4%) while accounting for more than 75% of Tampa’s backfield touches. He was second in the NFL with 272 carries while simultaneously proving to be one of the league’s best pass-catching backs. He was targeted 70 times and ranked No. 4 in receptions with 64. He’s not just a check-down guy, either. White finished top-5 in yards per reception, top-3 in total receiving yards, and led all running backs with a 91.4% catch rate.
Yards Per Attempt?
Let’s talk about yards per carry. White catches a lot of slack for his subpar yards per carry numbers, but yards per attempt is one of the least predictive metrics for running backs. I would get crushed if I came on here and was pumping up a running back because of his yards per carry average. So we can’t push a guy down just because his yards per attempt is below average. I can confidently say that Rachaad White is a far better runner than he’s given credit for. He was a tackle-breaking machine in 2023, ranking No. 6 in evaded tackles. He was also No. 2 in yards created (PlayerProfiler.com).
The haters seem to ignore the fact that White was stuck behind one of the NFL’s worst offensive lines. However, the team addressed that need this offseason, spending multiple draft picks on lineman, including their first rounder. Even an average front five would be a huge win for White drafters. If he gets just a little bit more space and isn’t having to constantly shake guys off in the backfield, White could start ripping off long runs at a much higher rate. He’s an explosive back who just hasn’t had many opportunities to show that off yet.
2024 Outlook
He will get plenty of opportunity to do so in 2024, though, as he is in line for another massive workload. There is zero competition in that backfield as the team only added a day 3 running back who projects as more of a Chase Edmonds replacement than a Rachaad White threat.
The point is, White will continue to be near the top of the league in total touches. He gives us a high floor in PPR formats, plus an exciting ceiling if that offensive line gives him more space to work. Rachaad White was the steal of 2023 and he will be the steal of 2024.
How do you feel about Rachaad White’s outlook in 2024? Join us on Discord and let’s discuss!
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