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In support of Women’s Sports Foundation, the 2021 ‘My Cause My Cleats’ pick of rushing QB extraordinaire Jalen Hurts
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- Division: NFC East
- 2021 Finish: 9-8
- Divisional Record: 3-3
- 2022 Projected Finish: 10-7
- 2022 Strength of Schedule: 2nd
Philadelphia Eagles Offense
Play Caller: Nick Sirianni
Nick Sirianni has the fans in Philadelphia believing they are set up to run the NFC East for years to come. It’s hard to argue that after he led the Eagles to the playoffs in his first season as a Head Coach and play-caller. He did it with a quarterback that many believed was not a viable long-term solution. Jalen Hurts leaves a lot of room to improve as a passer, but he has earned the respect of the franchise and the players in that locker room. He plays behind one of the best offensive lines in the NFL, especially regarding the run game, which fits what Hurts and this offense do better than anybody else in the league.
The Eagles finished first in the NFL in rushing yards (2,715), first downs rushing (163), and touchdowns on the ground (25), while finishing fourth in yards per carry (4.9). This ball control offense allowed them to wear down a defensive front, control the clock, and keep their defense on the sidelines. This also means the defense knew what was coming but couldn’t stop it. The Eagles used a running back by committee approach with Miles Sanders (5.5 yards per carry), Kenneth Gainwell (4.3), Boston Scott (4.3), and Jordan Howard (4.7) last season. I do believe the Eagles will be more balanced in 2022, but make no mistake; this offense starts with the ground game.
As for the passing attack, they didn’t exactly set the NFL on fire last season. They finished dead last in pass attempts (494), 31st in completions (307), 29th in passing yards (3,585), and 28th in touchdown passes (20). They ran the ball so well they didn’t have to put Hurts in a position to beat teams with his arm, but that will have to change in 2022 if they want to win the NFC East and make a run in the playoffs. On the bright side, the Eagles traded for A.J. Brown to play opposite Devonta Smith, giving the Eagles a very good 1-2 punch at the wide receiver position. Pair that with a rising star at the tight end position in Dallas Goedert, and it’s a much-improved passing game on skillset alone. Jalen Hurts will be playing with a full deck this season, so we should expect to see more in the passing game in 2022. It would not surprise me at all to see the Eagles win the NFC East.
2021 By the Numbers
- Points Scored: 444 (12tht)
- Total Yards: 6,119 (14th)
- Total Plays: 1,075 (14th)
- Yards Per Play: 5.7 (13th)
- 1st Downs: 352 (14th), Passing 167 (29th), Rushing 163 (1st)
- Scoring Rate: 43.4% (10th)
- Turnover Rate: 9.2% (7th)
- Offensive Plays/Game: 63.2 (16th)
- Pace of Play: 27.9 Seconds Per Play (11th)
- Passing Ratio: 50% (32nd)
- Neutral Game Script: 50% (31st)
- RPO: 196 Snaps
- Motion: 340 Plays
- No Huddle: 173 Plays
- Play Action: 186 Plays
2021 Target Distribution
WRs: 239 Targets (32nd)
RBs: 106 Targets (18th)
TEs: 121 Targets (14th)
2021 Personnel Groupings
11 Personnel: 753 Plays
OVR: 64% (49% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 60% (40% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 40% (62% Success Rate)
12 Personnel: 300 Plays
OVR: 25% (54% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 28% (54% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 72% (53% Success Rate)
Offensive Line Projected Starters
LT: #68 Jordan Mailata
Age: 25 HT: 6’8 WT: 365 College: N/A Draft: RD7 Pick 233
OVR PFF: 87.4 Pass: 83.3 Run: 87.8 (914 Snaps)
Contract: 4 years / $16,000,000 per year (10th at position) – Expires 2026
LG: #69 Landon Dickerson
Age: 23 HT: 6’6 WT: 332 College: Alabama Draft: RD2 Pick 37
OVR PFF: 67.3 Pass: 57.1 Run: 69.7 (859 snaps)
Contract: 3 years / $2,164,168 per year (24th at position) – Expires 2025
C: #62 Jason Kelce
Age: 34 HT: 6’3 WT: 295 College: Cincinnati Draft: RD6 Pick 191
OVR PFF: 84.4 Pass: 67.7 Run 89.4 (993 Snaps)
Contract: 2 years / $14,000,000 per year (1st at position) – Expires 2024
RG: #56 Isaac Seumalo
Age: 28 HT: 6’4 WT: 303 College: Oregon State Draft: RD3 Pick 79
OVR PFF: 74.8 Pass: 82.9 Run 75.5 (168 Snaps)
Contract: 1 year / $5,850,000 per year (9th at position) – Expires 2023
RT: #65 Lane Johnson
Age: 32 HT: 6’6 WT: 325 College: Oklahoma Draft: RD1 Pick 4
OVR PFF: 82.4 Pass: 81.2 Run: 76.8 (821 Snaps)
Contract: 4 years / $18,000,000 per year (3rd at position) – Expires 2026
“With the addition of Brown to the passing game, Mr. Hurts has no excuses”
QB Room
#1 Jalen Hurts
Age: 23 HT: 6’1 WT: 223 College: Oklahoma Draft: RD2 Pick 53
Contract: 2 years / $1,506,294 per year (57th at position) – Expires 2024
Jalen Hurts was drafted in the second round of the 2020 NFL Draft as insurance for Carson Wentz. In 2020, Wentz led the NFL in interceptions with 15 in 12 games and was benched for the remainder of the season. It was time to see what Hurts could do with this offense. The Eagles would finish with only four wins that season but decided to trade Wentz to the Indianapolis Colts and hand the reigns of the franchise to Hurts.
In 2021, Hurts led the Eagles to the playoffs in his first season as the full-time starter, completing 61% of his passes for 3,144 yards and 16 touchdowns. He would run for another 784 yards and ten touchdowns, and the Eagles knew they had their franchise quarterback. We understand what Hurts can do with his legs, but it’s time to take the next step as a football thrower in 2022. With the addition of Brown to the passing game, Mr. Hurts has no excuses. The passing numbers do not excite you, but I expect him to make a giant leap this season. There is too much talent around him.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Passing: 487 Attempts, 65.3% Comp Rate, 3,686 Yards (7.6 YPA), 25 Touchdowns (5.1%)
Rushing: 148 Attempts, 5.4 YPC, 801 Yards, 9 Touchdowns
PROJECTIONS TEMPLATE – GET NOW!
RB Room
#26 Miles Sanders
Age: 25 HT: 5’11 WT: 211 College: Penn State Draft: RD2 Pick 53
Contract: 1 year / $1,340,058 per year (51st at position) – Expires 2023
Miles Sanders enters the 2022 season with questions about his usage in this offense and his ability to earn the high-value touches in the red zone and the passing game. Last season, Jalen Hurts and Boston Scott led the team in rushing touchdowns with 10 and 7, respectively. Sanders also had his lowest output in the passing game over his first three seasons with just 34 targets. He failed to score on the ground or through the air last season on 163 touches. That’s not good. To make matters worse, he’s missed nine games in the previous two seasons.
On a positive note, he finished fifth in breakaway run rate (8%), third in true yards per carry (5.2), and tenth in yards per touch (5.6). He gives you a homerun threat when the ball is in his hands as he possesses sub-4.5 speed, but he will need to create explosive plays to hold back the competition for touches in this backfield. Best case scenario, Sanders gives you RB2 production, but if everyone is healthy in this backfield, the volume will be spread to the hot hand.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 9% Target Share, 44 Targets, 31 Receptions, 206 yards (6.6 YPR), 1 Touchdown
Rushing: 39% Rush Share, 214 Attempts, 1,029 Yards (4.8 YPC), 7 Touchdowns
#14 Kenneth Gainwell
Age: 23 HT: 5’9 WT: 200 College: Memphis Draft: RD5 Pick 150
Contract: 3 years / $953,881 per year (112th at position) – Expires 2025
Kenneth Gainwell was a fifth-round draft pick that showcased his ability as a runner and a pass-catcher during his rookie season in 2021. He finished the season on the ground with 68 carries for 291 yards and five touchdowns while adding another 253 yards receiving and a touchdown through the air. His versatility makes him the clear RB2 in this offense with weekly RB1 upside if Sanders misses any time. He finished seventh in fantasy points per opportunity (1.05), sixth in yards per route run (1.73), and 12th in yards per reception (7.7). I’m grabbing him as a handcuff play with flex appeal in deeper leagues.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 11% Target Share, 54 Targets, 35 Receptions, 272 Yards (7.8 YPR), 1 Touchdown
Rushing: 24% Rush Share, 132 Attempts, 567 Yards (4.3 YPC), 1 Touchdown
WR Room
#11 A.J. Brown
Age: 25 HT: 6’1 WT: 226 College: Ole Miss Draft: RD 2 Pick 51
Contract: 5 years / $25,000,000 per year (5th at position) – Expires 2027
A.J. Brown’s arrival in Philadelphia has put the rest of the NFC East on notice. This massive upgrade to the wide receiver room will allow this offense to take more chances in the passing game. Brown is explosive with the ball in his hands, bringing physicality to the wide receiver position. He’s had two consecutive seasons over 100 targets while missing six games during that span. In just three seasons, he’s totaled 185 receptions for 2,995 yards and 24 touchdowns. I wouldn’t be surprised if Sirianni uses Brown in a Deebo Samuel-type role at times to give him some manufactured touches in the ground game.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 22% Target Share, 107 Targets, 73 Receptions, 1,021 Yards (14.0 YPR), 9 Touchdowns
“He has a complete toolbox of release moves and came to the NFL as an accomplished route runner”
#6 DeVonta Smith
Age: 23 HT: 6’0 WT: 170 College: Alabama Draft: RD1 Pick 10
Contract: 3 years / $5,035,348 per year (45th at position) – Expires 2025 – 5th year option available
There were questions about DeVonta Smith as a prospect due to his BMI and physical frame. He’s answered the critics and looks to take the next leap in year two in Philly. Smith finished his rookie season with 104 targets, 64 receptions, 916 yards, and five touchdowns. He used his 4.4-speed to finish sixth in average target distance (14.4), 12th in air yards (1487), and ninth in deep targets (26). Smith lines up at the X position, so he faces more press coverage, but according to Reception Perception, he had a success rate of 78% against man press. He has a complete toolbox of release moves and came to the NFL as an accomplished route runner, which he showcased throughout his collegiate career in Alabama.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 21% Target Share, 102 Targets, 67 Receptions, 825 Yards (12.3 YPR), 7 Touchdowns
TE Room
#88 Dallas Goedert
Age: 27 HT: 6’5 WT: 256 College: South Dakota State Draft: RD2 Pick 49
Contract: 4 years / $14,250,000 per year (3rd at position) – Expires 2026
The Eagles have fully committed to Dallas Goedert after trading Zach Ertz during the 2021 season. Goedert had career-highs in receiving yards (830), yards per reception (14.8), and yards per target (10.9). He enters the 2022 season as the third option in the passing game but will have plenty of room to work underneath coverage and up the seams, with the defense having to focus more on the wide receiver position this year. Goedert has become Hurts’ security blanket on critical third downs and ranks in the top ten in several metrics at the tight end position. He finished first in yards per route run (2.93), first in yards per target (10.9), second in target separation (2.30), fifth in yards after catch (343), and sixth in contested catch rate (50%). Now he gets an entire season without competing with Ertz for targets in an offense that targeted the tight end position 121 times last season.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 15% Target Share, 73 Targets, 54 Receptions, 655 Yards (12.1 YPR), 5 Touchdowns
**Advanced Stats & Metrics provided by Yards Per Fantasy, Player Profiler, Sharp Football Analysis, Fantasy Pros, Team Rankings, Pro Football Focus, Over the Cap and Pro Football Reference**
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