In support of: Feed The Children
We dare to envision a world where no child goes to bed hungry. To help create that world, we are dedicated to helping families and communities achieve stable lives and to reducing the need for help tomorrow—all while providing food and assistance to help them today.
Nominated by Greg (@GREGGELS17)
2020 Recap
Division: NFC North
2020 Finish: 13-3 (1st in NFC North)
2020 Tendencies:
- Passing Ratio: 54% (22nd)
- Neutral Game Script: 59% (13th)
- Offensive Scheme: West Coast
Personnel Groupings:
- 11 Personnel (1RB, 1TE, 3WR) = 55%
- 12 Personnel (1RB, 2TE, 2WR) = 24%
- 21 Personnel (2RB, 1TE, 2WR) = 14%
- 13 Personnel (1RB, 3TE, 2WR) = 4%
- 22 Personnel (2RB, 2TE, 1WR) = 2%
Coaching Room
Head Coach: Matt LaFleur
Matt LaFleur is another hotshot play-caller that landed a head coaching gig in the NFL after spending time under Kyle Shanahan (Atlanta Falcons, Washington Redskins and Houston Texans) and Sean McVay (Washington Redskins and Los Angeles Rams). In 2016, while with the Atlanta Falcons, LaFleur coached Matt Ryan who would win the MVP award and take the Falcons to the Super Bowl. In his lone season under Sean McVay in Los Angeles, the Rams finished with the number one scoring offense with 478 points scored. In 2018, he joined the Tennessee Titans as the offensive coordinator, and for the first time in his career, he was the one calling the plays. He would then get his first head coaching job with the Green Bay Packers in 2019. His first two seasons have mirrored each other as the Packers would finish 13-3, earn a first-round bye in the playoffs, and lose in the NFC Championship Game in both seasons. In 2020, the Packers would finish first in points (509), fifth in yards (6224), ninth in passing yards (4106), first in passing touchdowns (48), and eighth in rushing yards (2118). This is a very balanced offense that uses a ton of pre-snap motions and jet sweeps to set up their heavy RPO and screen game. LaFleur and Aaron Rodgers made a killing attacking defenses outside the numbers and cutting down on throws over the middle. This may be the last chance to make a run at a Super Bowl as Aaron Rodgers has an out after this season and has not been happy with the way this team has been managed, but he and Matt LaFleur have a very special bond and understand what the ultimate goal of this football team is in 2021.
Overall Rank: 8th/32
OL Room
LT David Bakhtiari – PFF 91.8, Pass Blocking 91.6, Run Blocking 86.9
David Bakhtiari suffered a torn ACL in Week 17 and it appears as though the Packers may be without their All-Pro left tackle for the start of the season. Bakhtiari is not only one of the best left tackles in the NFL, if not the best, but he is also pretty good at chugging beers as seen all over social media. Bakhtiari finished the 2020 season as the number one ranked tackle in the NFL in Pass Block Grade, second in Overall PFF Grade, and fifth in Run Block Grade. He has finished three of the last four seasons as the second-best tackle in the NFL in Overall PFF Grade. Bottom line is that Aaron Rodgers and this offense want to make sure that Bakhtiari is fully healthy and will not rush him back any sooner.
LG Elgton Jenkins – PFF 66.9, Pass Blocking 74.6, Run Blocking 61.6
Elgton Jenkins was a second-round draft pick in 2019 out of Mississippi State and was instantly plugged into the lineup and has started 30 of 32 games since entering the NFL. He graded in the top-ten in Pass Block Grade in 2021 but does struggle in the run game finishing 42nd out of 73 players graded at the guard position.
C Josh Myers (Rookie)
Josh Myers was drafted in the second-round of the 2021 NFL Draft out of Ohio State and will get every opportunity to be the guy to start Week 1 in 2021. He finished his college career as a Second-Team All-American and a Rimington Trophy finalist which is given out to the nation’s best center.
RG Lucas Patrick – PFF 66.9, Pass Blocking 62.9, Run Blocking 66.1
Lucas Patrick was undrafted in 2016 coming out of Duke but was signed by the Green Bay Packers and has stuck ever since. He struggled to find meaningful playing time in his first three seasons, but in 2020 he started 15 games and looks to build on that in 2021.
RT Billy Turner – PFF 70.5, Pass Blocking 69.6, Run Blocking 64.4
Billy Turner has started games at four different positions during his career but looks to have found a home in Green Bay after spending three years in both Denver and Miami. Turner played 884 snaps in 2020 and gave up two sacks, five hits, and 25 total pressures. The 2020 season was also his first season grading above 64.4 in his NFL career finishing with a 70.5.
New Toys: N/A
Old News: Corey Linsley (13/13), Rich Wagner (16/9)
Overall Rank: 15th/32
QB Room
Aaron Rodgers (QB5)
Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers have agreed to move forward for the 2021 season clearing the way for Rodgers, Aaron Jones, Davante Adams, and the rest of this offense to be set to make another run at a Super Bowl. Rodgers is entering his 17th season in the NFL and since becoming the full-time starter in 2008, the Packers have only had two losing seasons and are 126-63-1 with Rodgers taking snaps behind center. In 2020, he led the NFL in completion percentage (70.7%), touchdowns (48), touchdown percentage (9.1%), and QBR (84.4). In his two seasons with Matt LaFleur he has completed 66.2% of his passes while throwing for 8,301 yards and 74 touchdowns with only 9 interceptions. The Packers have also brought in Randall Cobb via trade with the Houston Texans and drafted Amari Rodgers who projects to be an important piece of this offense in 2021. Having Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon in the backfield certainly does not suck.
Fantasy Outlook
Passing: 577 attempts, 71.9%, 4665 yards, 46 touchdowns
Rushing: 45 attempts, 172 yards, 3 touchdowns
Total Fantasy Points: 393.8
New Toys: Blake Bortles
Old News: Tim Boyle (8/0)
Position Fantasy Rank: 5th/32
RB Room
Aaron Jones (RB6)
Many believed that Aaron Jones was on his way out after the Packers decided not to franchise tag him, but they were able to workout a deal that is similar to what he would have been paid if the Packers franchise tagged him for two consecutive seasons. Aaron Jones has been fantastic since Matt LaFleur took over this offense. In the last two seasons he has compiled 2,188 rushing yards with 25 rushing touchdowns to go along with 96 receptions for 829 yards and 5 more touchdowns. That is 30 touchdowns in the last two seasons and over 3,000 scrimmage yards. Yes, Aaron Jones is good at football.
Fantasy Outlook
Rushing: 227 attempts, 1133 yards, 12 touchdowns
Receiving: 81 targets, 61 receptions, 491 yards, 4 touchdowns
Total Fantasy Points: 318.9
AJ Dillon (RB38)
AJ Dillon is now the clear RB2 in this backfield now that Jamaal Williams has moved on to the Detroit Lions. Dillon was a second-round draft pick out of Boston College during the 2020 NFL Draft. In his rookie season, he finished with 46 attempts for 242 yards and two touchdowns averaging 5.3 yards per carry over 11 games (he missed five games due to COVID-19). Last season, Jamaal Williams saw a 27% rushing share which was good enough for 114 attempts over the course of the season. I expect Dillon to see closer to 33% of the attempts and to take over the red zone and goal line touches left by Jamaal Williams.
Fantasy Outlook
Rushing: 150 attempts, 718 yards, 5 touchdowns
Receiving: 29 targets, 21 receptions, 127 yards, 1 touchdown
Total Fantasy Points: 141.2
New Toys: N/A
Old News: Tyler Ervin (8/0), Jamaal Williams (14/3)
Position Fantasy Rank: 4th/32
WR Room
Davante Adams (WR1)
Davante Adams finished the 2020 season as the overall WR1 after finishing with career highs in receptions (115), touchdowns (18), first down receptions (73), receptions per game (8.2), yards per game (98.1), and catch rate (77.2%) while earning his fourth Pro Bowl selection and First-Team All-Pro selection. He finished with over 100 receptions for the second time in three years and over 117 targets for the fifth consecutive season. He finished as the top wide receiver in several advanced metrics including target share (34.1%), red zone targets (27), yards after catch (587), fantasy points per game (25.6), and yards per route run (2.97). He is the true definition of an alpha receiver and if he is not your number one ranked wide receiver in all formats I am sorry, but we can’t be friends.
Fantasy Outlook
Receiving: 173 targets, 126 receptions, 1579 yards, 16 touchdowns
Total Fantasy Points: 380.2
Allen Lazard (WR64)
Allen Lazard has improved in each of his three seasons in Green Bay since being signed as an undrafted free agent in 2018 out of Iowa State. In his rookie season, Lazard played one game and finished the season with one target, one reception and seven yards. In his second season he would play all 16 games and finished with 52 targets, 35 receptions, 477 yards and three touchdowns. Unfortunately, he would miss six games in 2020, but was on pace for 73 targets, 53 receptions, 722 yards, and five touchdowns after playing in 10 games. With Amari Rodgers getting drafted it puts the receiving core in a little bit of uncertainty outside of Davante Adams because Rodgers is a pure slot receiver while Lazard also played 50% of his snaps from the slot in 2020. It would make sense to lineup Lazard opposite of Davante Adams with Randall Cobb and Amari Rodgers splitting time in the slot in 11 personnel, but we will see how that shakes out in Green Bay. There is a lot of flexibility in Green Bay in regards to how LaFleur can use this receiver group.
Fantasy Outlook
Receiving: 75 targets, 51 receptions, 663 yards, 6 touchdowns
Total Fantasy Points: 153.3
Randall Cobb (WR80)
Randall Cobb could not be more excited to be back in Green Bay and reuniting with his former quarterback and future Hall of Famer, Aaron Rodgers. There is no doubt that Randall Cobb had his best years in Green Bay including 2014 when he went for 91 grabs, 1287 yards, and 12 touchdowns. He has failed to reach 1000 yards and more than 6 touchdowns in every season since that Pro Bowl season. He did show some flashes during his 2018 season with the Dallas Cowboys when he set a career high with 15.1 yards per reception and finished the season with 55 grabs for 828 yards and three touchdowns. Cobb will more than likely start the season as the WR3 in this offense, but could see competition for touches from rookie Amari Rodgers.
Fantasy Outlook
Receiving: 69 targets, 48 receptions, 547 yards, 3 touchdowns
Total Fantasy Points: 121.2
New Toys: Amari Rodgers
Old News: Tavon Austin (4/0)
Position Fantasy Rank: 8th/32
TE Room
Robert Tonyan (TE11)
Robert Tonyan broke out in a big way in 2020 with 52 receptions for 586 yards and 11 touchdowns. That is a touchdown for every 4.7 receptions which is insane efficiency not to mention 63% of his receptions went for first downs. Tonyan finished the 2020 season ranked 11th in deep targets (8), seventh in yards per route run (1.79), third in yards per target (9.9), second in catchable target rate (89.8%), and first in total touchdowns (11) and catch rate (88.1%). It is not realistic to think he can continue his touchdown efficiency but there is very little competition for targets in the tight end room so don’t be surprised if he ends up with similar numbers in terms of targets, receptions, and yards.
Fantasy Outlook
Receiving: 75 targets, 56 receptions, 664 yards, 8 touchdowns
Total Fantasy Points: 170.6
New Toys: N/A
Old News: John Lovett (8/0)
Position Fantasy Rank: 20th/32
2021 Full Player Projections
Make Your Own Projections With Our Template!
Strength of Schedule (SOS): #8 (.521 133-122-1)
2021 Predicted Finish: 11-6 (1st NFC North)
Note: all projections are PPR scoring
