#Project32 – Baltimore Ravens

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Baltimore Ravens 2021 projections
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2020 Recap

Division: AFC North

2020 Finish: 11-5 (2nd in AFC North)

2020 Tendencies:

  • Passing Ratio: 42% (32nd)
  • Neutral Game Script: 45% (32nd)
  • Offensive Scheme: West Coast

Personnel Groupings:

  • 11 Personnel (1RB, 1TE, 3WR) = 47%
  • 21 Personnel (2RB, 1TE, 2WR) = 18%
  • 22 Personnel (2RB, 2TE, 1WR) = 16%
  • 12 personnel (1RB, 2TE, 2WR) = 9%
  • 20 Personnel (2RB, 0TE, 3WR) = 9%
  • 01 Personnel (0RB, 1TE, 4WR) = 1%

Coaching Room

Head Coach: John Harbaugh

John Harbaugh has done everything in Baltimore including winning a Super Bowl. He was the 2019 NFL Coach of the Year and has led the Ravens to the playoffs in 9 of his 13 seasons. He’s only had one losing season during that time and the Ravens are primed to make another run in 2021. Oddly enough, he wasn’t the Ravens first choice to lead this team back in 2008. Jason Garrett, believe it or not, was the coach they were after, but he chose to stay in Dallas as a Head Coach in training. I think it’s safe to say things could have been a lot different in Baltimore. Harbaugh has 140 wins as the head coach of the Ravens. He’s built a winning culture in Baltimore and there is no reason to think that will not continue for years to come with the roster he’s built on both sides of the ball.

Offensive Coordinator: Greg Roman

Greg Roman has done an outstanding job building an offense around Lamar Jackson during his two year as the offensive coordinator in Baltimore. In 2019, the Ravens finished first in the NFL in points scored (531), rushing yards (3,296), and second in total yards (6,521) and Lamar Jackson won the M.V.P. Award. Unfortunately, they were bounced from the playoffs, after a first round bye, by the Tennessee Titans as the offense struggled to move the ball. In 2020, the Ravens once again led the NFL in rushing yards (3,071) but dropped to 19th in total yards (5,810), and seventh in points scored (468). They lost in the AFC divisional round to the Buffalo Bills and once again failed to produce on the offensive side of the ball. The expectations are high in Baltimore and as good as the rushing attack has been over the last two seasons, the passing game was 27th in yards in 2019 and 32nd in 2020. If the Ravens want to make a deep run in the playoffs, they must be able to score and move the ball through the air when it matters. The Ravens have added wide receivers Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace through the draft and signed free agent wide receiver Sammy Watkins to help bolster the passing game. Make no mistake, the Ravens will continue to pound the rock and will still incorporate designed QB runs and play smash-mouth football, but we can expect to see more play-action, bootlegs, and a focused effort on improving the passing game.

Overall Rank: 6th/32

OL Room

LT Ronnie Stanley – PFF 88.5, Pass Blocking 93.3, Run Blocking 76.2 *2019

Ronnie Stanley was the sixth overall pick out of Notre Dame in the 2016 NFL Draft and has started 62 games over the last five years. In 2019 he was selected to his first Pro Bowl and was a First-Team All-Pro finishing with an 88.5 overall PFF Grade and a 99.3 Pass Blocking grade. In 2020, his season was cut short due to an ankle injury and he has had two surgeries since then, but he should be a full go when the 2021 season starts.

LG Ben Cleveland (Rookie)

Ben Cleveland was drafted 94th overall and should plug in right away at left guard for the Ravens. Cleveland was ranked as the fifth best interior offensive linemen prospect by Pro Football Focus. He’s massive at 6’6 and 355 pounds and arrives in the NFL with good length and raw power. He excelled in the passing game with a pass block grade of 86.2 in his final season.

C Bradley Bozeman – PFF 64.3, Pass Blocking 62.5, Run Blocking 63.3

Bradley Bozeman was a sixth round pick out of Alabama in the 2018 NFL Draft. Bozeman hasn’t missed a start for two years and looks to build on last season.

RG Kevin Zeitler – PFF 65.9, Pass Blocking 68.7, Run Blocking 68.7

Kevin Zeitler is a former first round draft pick who has built a solid career in the NFL. He’s been a full-time starter since he arrived in 2012 and joins the Ravens after signing a three-year, $22.5 million contract. The Ravens have had their struggles with the interior line and with the additions of Ben Cleveland and now Zeitler they should see a vast improvement.

RT Alejandro Villanueva – PFF 74.6, Pass Blocking 77.1, Run Blocking 60.9

Alejandro Villanueva signed a two-year contract with the Baltimore Ravens and will move from left tackle to right tackle. The two-time Pro Bowl selection and former Army Ranger brings six years of experience to the Ravens offensive line and has not missed a start in five years. If for some reason Ronnie Stanley misses time again the Ravens will be able to move Villanueva to left tackle so he creates insurance for this unit as well.

New Toys: N/A

Old News: Orlando Brown Jr. (16/16), D.J. Fluker (16/8), Matt Skura (15/12)

Overall Rank: 27th/32

QB Room

Lamar Jackson (QB6)

Lamar Jackson was a cheat code in his 2019 M.V.P. season. He passed for 3127 yards with 36 touchdowns and only six interceptions while rushing for an additional 1206 yards and seven touchdowns. In 2020, he was just as impressive in the run game finishing with 1005 yards becoming the first quarterback to rush for 1000 yards more than once and he did it in back to back seasons. With the additions of Rashod Bateman and Sammy Watkins to go along with Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews, it appears the Ravens are going to spice things up on offense. Could Lamar Jackson be the first quarterback to throw for 4000 yards and rush for 1000 in the same season? Stay tuned.

Fantasy Outlook

Passing: 477 attempts, 65.1%, 3408 yards, 30 touchdowns

Rushing: 185 attempts, 1073 yards, 7 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 391.6

New Toys: N/A 

Old News: Robert Griffin III (5/1)

Position Fantasy Rank: 6th/32

RB Room

Gus Edwards (RB22)

Gus Edwards has been very consistent over his three years in the NFL. He has been between 133-144 rushing attempts, 711-723 rushing yards and 5.0-5.3 yards per carry in every season. That is the definition of consistent. With J.K. Dobbins now out of the season and Mark Ingram now in Houston, this is Edwards’ opportunity to show that he can lead this running back room. This team has averaged 539.5 rush attempts per season over the last four years and Edwards should see 230+ carries in this offense with very little competition behind him.

Fantasy Outlook

Rushing: 224attempts, 1121 yards, 11 touchdowns

Receiving: 38 targets, 27 receptions, 179 yards, 1 touchdown

Total Fantasy Points: 228.8

New Toys: N/A

Old News: Mark Ingram II (11/9)

Position Fantasy Rank: 25th/32

WR Room

Rashod Bateman (WR78)

With the selection of Rashod Bateman in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft, the Baltimore Ravens are committed to improving the passing game. Bateman finished his college career with 147 receptions for 2395 yards and 19 touchdowns. It is difficult to predict the impact that Bateman will have in his first season in Baltimore due to low passing volume, but don’t be surprised if he leads this group in targets. Bateman is excellent when working the short to intermediate areas of the field and should be an excellent compliment to Marquise Brown who is more of a vertical threat. It is worth noting that Bateman suffered a groin injury during the first week of camp and is slated to miss “multiple weeks” per the Baltimore Ravens. Until we have more information on the extent of the injury and his timetable for a return we need to adjust accordingly.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 67 targets, 45 receptions, 527 yards, 5 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 128.2

Marquise Brown (WR63)

Marquise Brown is another late first round draft pick on the Ravens roster. In 2019, his rookie season, he started 11 games and totalled 46 receptions for 584 yards and seven touchdowns. In 2020, he showed improvement with 58 receptions for 769 yards and 8 touchdowns.  Brown has blazing speed (4.32) and can put pressure on the defense, and if Bateman misses any significant time then Brown becomes the clear WR1 in this offense.  With that said, Brown is working through a hamstring injury and will miss the first preseason game, but expectations are that he should be ready for Week 1.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 76 targets, 46 receptions, 669 yards, 7 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 154.8

New Toys: Sammy Watkins

Old News: Dez Bryant (6/0), Willie Snead IV (15/9)

Position Fantasy Rank: 30th/32

TE Room

Mark Andrews (TE5)

Mark Andrews enters year four in Baltimore, and he has been everything the Ravens hoped he would be when they drafted him in the third round of the 2018 NFL Draft. His best season came in 2019 when he had 64 receptions for 852 yards and 10 touchdowns earning him his first Pro Bowl selection. In 2020 his numbers dipped a bit, but he still finished third in target share (24.9%), fifth in red zone targets (18), and sixth in total touchdowns (7). Expect Andrews to get back to Pro Bowl form in 2021 with a renewed focus to elevate the passing game.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 105 targets, 70 targets, 866 yards, 10 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 216.9

New Toys: Josh Oliver

Old News: N/A

Position Fantasy Rank: 9th/32

2021 Full Player Projections

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Strength of Schedule (SOS): #2 (.559 142-112-2)

2021 Predicted Finish: 11-6 (2nd AFC North)

Baltimore Ravens 2021 projections
Note: all projections are PPR scoring

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