#Project32 provides in-depth breakdowns, projections, and rankings of all 32 teams coupled with promotion of some charitable organizations (a ‘My Clause My Cleats’ charity from some of your favorite fantasy players on each team)
In support of JDRF, the 2021 ‘My Cause My Cleats’ pick of elite Tight End Mark Andrews
At JDRF, we’re leading the fight against type 1 diabetes (T1D) by funding research, advocating for policies that accelerate access to new therapies, and providing a support network for millions of people around the world impacted by T1D.
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- Division: AFC North
- 2021 Finish: 8-9
- Divisional Record: 1-5
- 2022 Projected Finish: 10-7
- 2022 Strength of Schedule: 11th
Baltimore Ravens Offense
Play Caller: Greg Roman
Greg Roman has built an outstanding offense around the talents of Lamar Jackson and the run game, but the Ravens’ inability to win in the playoffs have people wondering if his brand of offense can win a Super Bowl. In his three seasons as the offensive coordinator, the Ravens have made the playoffs twice and been eliminated by the Titans (2019) and the Bills (2020), while scoring a total of 20 points in those games. Surprising when you consider Roman won the Assistant Coach of the Year award in 2019, which is the same season Lamar Jackson won the Most Valuable Player award. The Ravens finished last season 8-9 and missed the playoffs for the first time in four years.
To be fair, the Ravens lost J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards to season-ending injuries before Week 1, and were limited to veterans Devonta Freeman and Latavius Murray, and Ty’Son Williams, who went undrafted in the 2020 NFL Draft. To make matters worse, they would lose Lamar Jackson for the last four games of the season due to an ankle injury in Week 14. They finished with 2,479 yards rushing last season compared to 3,071 yards in 2020 and 3,296 yards in 2019. The Ravens will get J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards back this season, but neither has been cleared to play in Week 1 yet. When they are ready to go, we can expect to see this offense rely heavily on the run game again based on what we’ve seen and heard coming out of the offseason and into the preseason.
The Ravens traded away Marquise Brown and a third-round compensatory pick for the 23rd overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. With that pick the Ravens selected center Tyler Linderbaum, who will immediately plug in as a run-game mauler on the offensive line. This move and the selection of tight ends Charlie Kolar and Isaiah Likely lead you to believe the Ravens will continue to pound the rock with multiple tight end and running back sets. They used 21, 22, and 12 personnel groupings for 558 plays last season compared to just 540 out of 11 personnel. Expect a lot of two-receiver sets with a heavy dose of run-action to set up calculated play-action opportunities for Mark Andrews and Bateman.
2021 By the Numbers
- Points Scored: 387 (17th)
- Total Yards: 6,440 (6th)
- Total Plays: 1,185 (1st)
- Yards Per Play: 5.4 (18th)
- 1st Downs: 394 (5th), Passing 209 (10th), Rushing 159 (2nd)
- Scoring Rate: 38.5% (17th)
- Turnover Rate: 13.3% (24th)
- Offensive Plays/Game: 69.7 (1st)
- Pace of Play: 30.2 Seconds Per Play
- Passing Ratio: 56% (21st)
- Neutral Game Script: 53% (23rd)
- RPO: 80 Snaps – 45% Success Rate
- Motion: 523 Plays – 36.1% Success Rate
- No Huddle: 83 Plays – 47% Success Rate
- Play Action: 207 Plays – 47.3% Success Rate
2021 Target Distribution
WRs: 337 Targets (15th)
RBs: 83 Targets (30th)
TEs: 172 Targets (2nd)
2021 Personnel Groupings
11 Personnel: 540 Plays
OVR: 43% (48% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 75% (45% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 5% (57% Success Rate)
21 Personnel: 278 Plays
OVR: 22% (55% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 47% (56% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 53% (54% Success Rate)
22 Personnel: 170 Plays
OVR: 14% (51% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 27% (35% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 73% (56% Success Rate)
12 Personnel: 110 Plays
OVR: 9% (49% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 61% (36% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 39% (70% Success Rate)
Offensive Line Projected Starters
LT: #79 Ronnie Stanley
Age: 28 HT: 6’6 WT: 315 College: Notre Dame Draft: RD1 Pick 6
OVR PFF: 48.9 Pass: 27.7 Run: 62.5 (68 Snaps)
Contract: 4 years / $19,750,000 per year (4th at position) – Expires 2026
LG: #72 Ben Powers
Age: 25 HT: 6’4 WT: 310 College: Oklahoma Draft: RD4 Pick 123
OVR PFF: 66.3 Pass: 66.1 Run: 63.6 (844 Snaps)
Contract: 1 year / $804,383 per year (90th at position) – Expires 2023
C: #64 Tyler Linderbaum
Age: 22 HT: 6’2 WT: 305 College: Iowa Draft: RD1 Pick 25
OVR PFF: 95.4 Pass: 96.6 Run: 79.8 (908 Snaps)
Contract: 4 years / $3,309,574 per year (19th at position) – Expires 2026 – 5th year option available
RG: #70 Kevin Zeitler
Age: 32 HT: 6’4 WT: 315 College: Wisconsin Draft: RD1 Pick 27
OVR PFF: 75.1 Pass: 79.7 Run: 68.7 (1,221 Snaps)
Contract: 2 years / $7,500,000 per year (10th at position) – Expires 2024
RT: #78 Morgan Moses
Age: 31 HT: 6’6 WT: 330 College: Virginia Draft: RD3 Pick 66
OVR PFF: 71.0 Pass: 65.7 Run: 74.9 (1,022 Snaps)
Contract: 3 years / $5,000,000 per year (14th at position) – Expires 2025
“common sense tells you that Jackson is highly motivated to put up another MVP caliber season”
QB Room
#8 Lamar Jackson
Age: 25 HT: 6’2 WT: 212 College: Louisville Draft: RD1 Pick 32
Contract: 1 year / $2,367,913 per year (47th at position) – Expires 2023
Lamar Jackson has stated he will not talk about his potential contract once the season starts. This means the Ravens either pony up an offer that works for Jackson or they gamble they can get something done after the season ends and he becomes a free agent. Either way, common sense tells you that Jackson is highly motivated to put up another MVP caliber season. He finished last season with 2,882 yards passing and just 16 touchdowns through 12 games. He was on pace for over 4,000 yards passing and 1,000 yards rushing and would have been the first quarterback in NFL history to accomplish that feat. If you can grab him at the end of the first round in Superflex leagues, I would pull the trigger.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Passing: 508 Attempts, 65.8% Comp Rate, 3,803 Yards (7.5 YPA), 27 Touchdowns (5.3%)
Rushing: 153 Attempts, 6.0 YPC, 920 Yards, 8 Touchdowns
PROJECTIONS TEMPLATE – GET NOW!
RB Room
#27 J.K. Dobbins
Age: 23 HT: 5’10 WT: 212 College: Ohio State Draft: RD2 Pick 55
Contract: 2 years / $1,432,360 per year (50th at position) – Expires 2024
J.K. Dobbins missed the 2021 season due to an ACL tear in a preseason game against the Washington Football Team. The Ravens took Dobbins off the PUP list last week so this leads you to believe he will not miss more than four games to start the 2022 season. The Ravens were hopeful he would be back for Week 1 and will continue to monitor his progress as the preseason winds down. In 2020, Dobbins’ rookie season, he finished with 134 carries for 805 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground, while contributing 18 receptions for 120 yards in the passing game. Dobbins doesn’t offer much in the passing game in an offense that ranked 30th in running back targets last season. There are plenty of backs that can be effective without high passing volume like Derrick Henry, but the difference is that Henry dominates touches in the run game. That is not the case with Dobbins as he splits carries with Gus Edwards and Lamar Jackson. This limits his upside and puts him in the mid-RB2 range for me assuming he continues to see red zone touches like he did in 2020.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 8% Target Share, 41 Targets, 30 Receptions, 229 yards (7.6 YPR), 1 Touchdown
Rushing: 38% Rush Share, 201 Attempts, 1,085 Yards (5.4 YPC), 9 Touchdowns
#35 Gus Edwards
Age: 27 HT: 6’1 WT: 238 College: Rutgers Draft: UDFA
Contract: 2 years / $4,128,000 per year (19th at position) – Expires 2024
Gus Edwards tore his ACL prior to the start of the 2021 season and is not progressing as quickly as Dobbins. We do not know if the Ravens will place him on the PUP list to start the season but if they do, he will miss the first four games. With that said, he’s averaged 5.2 yards per carry on 414 attempts through his first three seasons in the NFL. He’s put up over 2,152 yards during that time with only 13 starts to his credit. Unfortunately, he offers even less in the passing game then J.K. Dobbins, and the Ravens just brought in Mike Davis and Tyler Badie, who could both play a role on third downs. I don’t see Edwards returning the same value we have been used to in season-long formats, but if he can get back to 100% and Dobbins misses anytime, that’s when the value happens.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 2% Target Share, 10 Targets, 8 Receptions, 57 yards (7.1 YPR), 0 Touchdowns
Rushing: 23% Rush Share, 122 Attempts, 584 Yards (4.8 YPC), 4 Touchdowns
“It’s officially Rashod Bateman season in Baltimore”
WR Room
#7 Rashod Bateman
Age: 22 HT: 6’1 WT: 193 College: Minnesota Draft: RD1 Pick 27
Contract: 3 years / $3,149,854 per year (66th at position) – Expires 2025 – 5th year option available
It’s officially Rashod Bateman season in Baltimore. With Marquise Brown no longer on the roster, the Ravens have fully committed to Bateman taking a massive step in year two. Brown saw 146 targets last season as the WR1 in this offense. That role now belongs to Bateman, who finished his rookie season with 68 targets, 46 receptions, 515 yards, and one touchdown through 12 games. He missed five games due to a groin injury, but he looks primed and ready to go for 2022. It’s worth noting that the Ravens did nothing to bolster the wide receiver room after trading Brown, so it’s wheels up for Bateman and Mark Andrews as the players to target in this offense.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 23% Target Share, 117 Targets, 77 Receptions, 1,010 Yards (13.1 YPR), 7 Touchdowns
#13 Devin Duvernay
Age: 24 HT: 5’11 WT: 200 College: Texas Draft: RD3 Pick 92
Contract: 2 years / $1,116,927 per year (145th at position) – Expires 2024
As the dominoes fell this offseason, the player that may have the most to gain from a production standpoint is Devin Duvernay. He now becomes the third option in the passing game behind Bateman and Andrews. He finished last season with 47 targets, 33 receptions, 272 yards, and two touchdowns. He now slides into the WR2 role in this offense so we should see him increase his production for the third consecutive season.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 12% Target Share, 61 Targets, 38 Receptions, 461 Yards (12.1 YPR), 3 Touchdowns
TE Room
#89 Mark Andrews
Age: 26 HT: 6’5 WT: 256 College: Oklahoma Draft: RD3 Pick 86
Contract: 4 years / $14,000,000 per year (4th at position) – Expires 2026
With the Ravens decimated by injuries and forced to pass the ball more, Mark Andrews absolutely took advantage of the increased opportunity last season. He had a career year finishing with 153 targets, 107 receptions, 1,361 yards, and nine touchdowns. He was responsible for 75 first-down receptions and 8.9 yards per target. He was selected to his second Pro Bowl and was a First-Team AP All-Pro finishing as the TE1 in fantasy football. I don’t expect the Ravens to pass as often as they did in 2021, but there is no doubt who Lamar Jackson’s favorite target will be in 2022. In the last four games of the season with Tyler Huntley and Josh Johnson at quarterback, Andrews went off for 32 receptions, 435 yards, and three touchdowns. I think it’s fair to say that Lamar Jackson was watching.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 26% Target Share, 132 Targets, 90 Receptions, 1,186 Yards (13.2 YPR), 11 Touchdowns
**Advanced Stats & Metrics provided by Yards Per Fantasy, Player Profiler, Sharp Football Analysis, Fantasy Pros, Team Rankings, Pro Football Focus, Over the Cap and Pro Football Reference**
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