Michael Pittman Jr 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook
Michael Pittman Jr 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook
Michael Pittman had his best season yet in 2023. He caught 109 of his 156 targets for 1,152 yards and four touchdowns. That was enough to finish just outside the top-12 wide receivers in fantasy football. Perhaps most impressive, is he did most of that with then-Colts backup quarterback Gardner Minshew. Minshew leaned heavily on Pittman who proved to be one of the true alpha wide receivers in the NFL. He ranked fourth in target share and fourth in receptions. He was Minshew’s go-to guy in the red zone as well, commanding 19 red zone targets which was ninth-most among wide receivers. Weirdly, though, Pittman only converted for four touchdowns. Based on his red zone targets and overall production, he should have made several more trips to the end zone. Touchdown regression is likely to play in his favor in 2024 which could make the difference between a high-end WR2 and a mid-WR1.
2024 Outlook
Now the Colts get last year’s third overall pick Anthony Richardson back. He will lead not only one of the NFL’s best offenses, but one of the league’s fastest offenses. That’s right, the Colts were top-3 in pace of play in 2023. We know the faster an offense plays, the more plays they run, and the more opportunities to score fantasy points there are for everyone.
Richardson will lean on Pittman as his go-to guy much like Minshew did. Pittman will give his young quarterback a weapon he can trust in all quadrants of the field. He has the size to dominate in the red zone and along the boundary. He is an exceptional route runner and separator. In fact, Pittman won on more than 53% of his routes in 2023, according to PlayerProfiler. And while he’s not thought of as a ‘YAC guy,’ Pittman made some magic happen after the catch, ranking top-10 in yards after reception.
So now we have a do-it-all alpha wide receiver who is in one of the league’s better offenses, is getting a quarterback upgrade, and is a candidate for major touchdown regression (in a good way!). Yet, he’s barely being drafted inside the top-24 wide receivers on Underdog right now. He’s in his super prime at 26-years old and could absolutely finish as a top-10 wide receiver in fantasy football. I will continue to smash that “draft player” button for Michael Pittman all summer long.
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NEXT: Michael Wilson 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook
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