Jaguars vs Chiefs Divisional Playoffs DFS Lineup Builder

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Jaguars vs Chiefs DFS Lineup Builder

The NFL playoffs continue Saturday afternoon in Kansas City as the Jaguars visit the Chiefs in the first game of the divisional round. The Jaguars had a historic second half comeback last Saturday versus the Chargers last Saturday to advance, erasing a 27-0 deficit to win 31-30. The Chiefs had a bye week as the #1 seed, so their players should be well rested. This matchup is packed with DFS superstars, so let’s dig into the numbers and find out which players are going to win you your FanDuel and DraftKings tournaments.

Showdown Captain: Trevor Lawrence

Lawrence had a shaky beginning to his playoff career, throwing four interceptions in the first half versus the Chargers. He settled down throwing 4 touchdowns and leading his team to his first playoff win. The matchup versus the Chiefs has been a juicy one for quarterbacks, and Saturday is an opportunity for Lawrence to leave his mark as an elite quarterback in the NFL.

• The Chiefs are 30^th in the NFL vs QB’s, allowing 22.06 fantasy points per game.
• The Chiefs are bottom 10 vs QB’s in attempts/game, completions/game, and yards/game. They have also allowed the most touchdowns (33).
• Lawrence has 16 touchdowns in his last five games with more than 35 attempts, while QB’s have attempted more than 35 attempts in four of the last five games vs the Chiefs.
• KC has allowed the 2^nd most yards per attempt, while Lawrence is #9 in deep ball attempts.

Flex Stack: Christian Kirk

Kirk got paid this offseason and he has shown Jaguars fans why all year. He has been Lawrence’s safety valve all year, and this matchup with the Chiefs is an opportunity for Kirk to showcase his skill set.

• KC has allowed the 3^rd most TD/game to wide receivers, and Kirk sits at #5 this season in red zone targets.
• In the last four games where Lawrence has more than 40 attempts Kirk has averaged 10.75 targets, 7 receptions, 80 yards. In those three games he has three touchdowns and seven red zone targets.
• Week 10 vs. the Chiefs, Kirk had nine catches on 12 targets for 105 yards and two touchdowns.

Flex Stack: Evan Engram

Engram has finally become the tight end that Giants fans always wanted… for the Jaguars. He has slowly worked into an efficient player and Doug Pederson has utilized him in different ways to let Engram use his athleticism to become a dangerous playmaker.

• KC has allowed four touchdowns over the last four games to tight ends and have allowed the 5^th most this season to the position.
• In Engram’s last three games where Lawrence has more than 40 attempts Engram averages 12 targets, 8.7 receptions, 106 yards, and a touchdown.
• Engram ran 37 routes in the Wild Card game, his season-high for 2022.

Flex Option: Travis Etienne

ETN SZN. Etienne had a 92% snap share in the Wild Card game vs the Chargers. The Jaguars are going to ride him until the wheels fall off this postseason, and he is one snap away from booming every week.

• KC has been middle of the pack vs RB, allowing 15.51 fantasy points per game.
• KC allows the most receptions per game to running backs (6.29) and Etienne ran 37 routes vs Chargers last week, his most this season. He is #5 among RB with 9 yards per reception.
• KC is only allowing 3.78 yards per carry over their last five games, but Etienne is has the 5^th most runs of more than 15 yards.

Flex Option: Patrick Mahomes

Mahomes had another MVP season while carrying the Chiefs to the #1 seed in the AFC. He is matchup proof, but it is even better hen facing the passing funnel that is the Jaguars secondary.

• The Jags are bottom-10 vs QB’s in fantasy points per game (19.56).
• Jacksonville is 27^th in passing yards per game, facing Mahomes who led the NFL in passing yards with 308.8/game.
• Mahomes average 38 attempts/game squaring off with the Jags who allow 35.78/game. In Mahomes last three games with more than 35 attempts he has eight touchdowns and averages 339 yards.
• In the Week 10 meeting vs Jacksonville, Mahomes was 26-35 with four touchdowns and 331 yards. He also had a season-high seven rushed and finished with 32.1 fantasy points.

Flex Option: Travis Kelce

Kelce finished yet another season as the best tight end in fantasy football. His connection with Mahomes may be the best in football, and that will show on Saturday afternoon.

• The Jaguars rank 26^th vs TE in fantasy points per game.
• Kelce has at least 7 targets in all but seven games this season.
• In Kelce’s last six playoff games he has averaged 11.2 targets, 9 receptions, and 109.8 yards.
• In the Week 10 meeting with the Jags, Kelce had six catches on seven targets for 81 yards and a touchdown.
• The Jags allow 13 yards per reception (#30) and the most yards per game (68.61). Kelce is 1^st in receiving yards among tight ends (78.7/game).
• Gerald Everett had six cathes on eight targets for 109 yards and a touchdown in the Wild Card game versus the Jaguars (22.9 fantasy points).

Value Option: Jerrick McKinnon

McKinnon’s role in the offense expanded towards the end of the season, and Mahomes relies on him heavily out of the backfield. McKinnon is set for a big day versus the Jags.

• Jags allow the most targets per game to running backs (7.89) and the 2^nd most catches (5.94). McKinnon is 4^th in YPR (9.1) and 1^st in fantasy points per opportunity (1.37).
• McKinnon played a large role in the 2022 playoffs, averaging 17 touches a game.
• The Jags have been good against the rush, as they are 5^th in YPC (3.86). A running back hasn’t reach 4 YPC since Week 14, limiting Pacheco’s ability.

Fade Play: Kickers and Defenses

• Both teams are top 10 in scoring in the red zone and bottom 10 in defensive scoring in the red zone, which will not allow many opportunities for Butker or Patterson.
• The over/under opened at 52.5, the highest of the weekend. Expect the teams to get in the end zone early and often.

Prediction: 34-31 Jaguars

It’s the magic. The Jaguars have the weapons and the opportune defense that it takes to beat the Chiefs. It will be a shootout, and Trevor Lawrence will cement himself as one of the elite quarterbacks in the NFL.

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