2026 Week 11 College Football Best Bets
2026 Week 11 College Football Best Bets
Week 10 was hyped as one of the best weekends for college football in recent history. While it may not have led to as many close games as we would have liked, there were still impactful results. Teams like Georgia, Alabama, Texas, and Tennessee secured a big ranked win, while their foes’ playoff hopes are on life support. Notre Dame picked up a signature win they lacked from a year ago, making it five straight weeks where a top-2 ranked team lost. Utah and UCLA kept their undefeated seasons alive, moving to 9-0. Oregon and Iowa picked up nice road wins to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Now we move on to week 11. And while the schedule may not appear as solid as last week, we still have five ranked matchups, and plenty more with playoff and bowl eligibility ramifications. Here are my 2026 week 11 college football best bets.
Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of November 12th. Please gamble responsibly and within your means. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Week 10: 3-2 (+0.70 Units)
YTD: 27-20 (+4.30 Units)
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Duke (7-2) vs. #7 Miami (FL) (8-1)
Miami -13.5; O/U 54.5
Over 54.5 (-112)
Miami has rolled in ACC play this year, averaging 42 PPG and scoring at least 33 in all six contests. But their defense has been susceptible, even before picking up their first loss last week. After their bye and in the weeks leading up to the Notre Dame game, Miami allowed 35 points to Florida State, 23 to Pittsburgh on a backup quarterback, and 35 to North Carolina. They allowed over 400 yards in each of the three games (417.7 YPG). This is also a revenge spot for Duke, as head coach Manny Diaz was the Miami coach from 2019-2021, before being fired for Mario Cristobal. I believe Duke can put some points on the scoreboard, while Miami has plenty of offensive firepower to hold their own, even in the absence of star receiver Malachi Toney. Give me the over in this ACC matchup.
Auburn (5-4) vs. Mississippi State (4-5)
Mississippi State +2.5; O/U 50.5
1st Half: Auburn -.5 (-120)
The good news for Mississippi State? Kamario Taylor is returning to Starkville next year on a reported $7.5M NIL deal. The bad news? The last four games without him have been abysmal for Mississippi State. He did play in part of the Oklahoma game, but still, Mississippi State has yet to score in the first half in each of their last four games. They were outscored 64-0 in the first half in those four games. Did they maybe find an answer in the second half of last week’s game against Vanderbilt, where they outscored the Commodores 23-7? Potentially. But I’ll take Auburn to be up at the end of the first half in this one.
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Michigan (5-4) vs. #16 Oregon (6-3)
Oregon -10.5; O/U 38.5
Oregon -10.5 (-110)
Oregon: Team Total Over 24.5 (-110)
Dante Moore was injured in late September at USC, and was replaced by Dylan Raiola when the Ducks returned from their bye. The next three games, Oregon averaged 14 PPG and went 1-2. That led to the firing of offensive coordinator, Drew Mehringer, who was replaced by Jay Johnson. The next two weeks? A 34-26 win over Northwestern, and a road win at Ohio State, 41-24. For context, Northwestern has allowed 20.2 PPG in their five other Big Ten games, while Ohio State allowed 18.8 PPG. This Oregon offense has found what works. I think their offense continues to roll, as they are still alive in the playoffs. I’ll take the Ducks to top 25 points this week.
More: 2026 College Football Futures
Oregon State (5-4) vs. #24 Boise State (8-1)
Boise State -14.5; O/U 64.5
Boise State -14.5 (-110)
The carriage that was carrying the Oregon State Beavers has turned into a pumpkin. Everyone was excited about the Beavers after playing both Texas Tech and Houston within two scores, and rattling off five straight wins, with the four against FBS teams ending in +126 scoring margin. Their last two have been a different story, losing by 16 at Fresno State and 22 hosting Texas State. Oregon State starting quarterback Brady Atkinson is doubtful for this one, and Boise State is still fighting for that Group of Six representation with New Mexico. I like Boise State to cover the number in this one.
Outright Underdogs (.5 units)
Week 10: 2-2 (+1.05 Units)
YTD: 5-18 (-2.28 Units)
Maryland vs. Wisconsin +275
A little hedge of my Wisconsin over 6.5 win total, but I very much believe the Terrapins are alive in this one. They have played much better since moving on from Mike Locksley, and think they can hang with a Wisconsin team that may not be as good as we thought. Give me the fighting Scott Van Pelts in this one.
Texas A&M vs. #8 Tennessee +114
Sandwich spot for Tennessee, as they come off a big win over Kentucky and have LSU on deck. Given the gap in ranking, but the close spread, I’m taking the home underdog to pull the slight upset.
Florida Atlantic @ Tulsa +180
Over the last two weeks, we have seen three totals eclipse 70; this one currently sits at 74.5. The underdog has covered in each of the three, and won two outright. The Owls have won two outright as an underdog this year, and I think they make it three this weekend.
North Carolina vs. Louisville +150
Revenge game, as UNC’s offensive coordinator, Bobby Petrino, goes against his old stomping grounds. Louisville is still an undisciplined team, ranking 112th in penalties per game. UNC? 3rd. I like the Tar Heels to become bowl eligible after this weekend.
What is your favorite 2026 week 11 college football best bets? Let me know on X!
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