2025 NFL Week 7 Best Bets
2025 NFL Week 7 Best Bets
The NFL season moves on, and we are one week closer to the halfway point. London games are coming to a close this week with a Sunday morning showdown between the Jaguars and Rams. This week will see a handful of matchups with a winning record, helping shape the playoff picture. And while we are still months away from the postseason, teams will utilize these weeks to increase their gap from the field, or close in on the playoff line. Here are my week 7 best bets in the NFL.
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Week 6: 3-1 (+1.85 units)
Year to Date: 13-10 (+1.77 units)
Miami Dolphins (1-5) vs. Cleveland Browns (1-5)
Cleveland -2.5; O/U 35.5
Cleveland -2.5 (-115)
The Browns as favorites? In this economy?
Cleveland ranks third in the league in yards allowed (262.3 YPG) and rushing yards (79.7 YPG). In the two games since Tyreek Hill was injured and ruled out for the season, Tua Tagovailoa is averaging 6.78 YPA. Weather is supposed to be a factor in this one as well – just to make matters more difficult for both teams. Miami has the worst run defense in the league (168.5 YPG), and one of three teams to allow over 5 yards per carry (5.6). If Cleveland can get the run game going, it will make it easier on Dillon Gabriel in his third start. I’m on the Browns to win and cover against the Dolphins.
New England Patriots (4-2) vs. Tennessee Titans (1-5)
Tennessee +7; O/U 42.5
New England -7 (-110)
A potential revenge spot for Mike Vrabel as he returns to his former coaching roots. Tennessee has failed to cover a home game since 2023, coincidentally, the last time Vrabel was coaching for the Titans. The Titans just fired their head coach Brian Callahan, and while that often meets with player motivation, their opponent has equal motivation to play for their head coach returning to the place he was fired. I’m on New England to cover this number in Nashville.
New Orleans Saints (1-5) vs. Chicago Bears (3-2)
Chicago -3.5; O/U 45.5
Chicago -3.5 (-120)
Spencer Rattler appears to be coming into his own as a starter. He secured his first win two weeks ago against the Giants, and the Saints kept the game within reach against a solid Patriots team. But both of those games were at home. In his five road starts, Rattler has lost four by double-digits. The lone single-digit loss was by eight points. The Bears lead the league with a turnover margin of +8. They are +10 on their current three-game winning streak. While this is not a flawless recipe for a win, it is proof their defense is showing up to compliment an offense that has scored at least 21 in their five games this year. I’m on the Bears to clear this number.
Outright Underdogs (.5 Units):
Week 6: 0-1 (-0.50 units)
Year to Date: 2-8 (-2.78 units)
Atlanta @ San Francisco +114
San Francisco welcomes back All-Pro tight end George Kittle, but will will still be without Brock Purdy and other key pieces. Atlanta is red hot after being shut out by Carolina, knocking off the Commanders and Bills in the process. I think they can get one more on the road in primetime.
Houston @ Seattle +140
Mike McDonald is an impressive 10-1 on the road, but just 4-8 at home. Houston is coming off the bye, while Seattle is coming back from a cross country trip to Jacksonville. I’m on Houston to win coming off the bye to cap the Week 7 NFL weekend.
What are some of your favorite Week 6 NFL best bets? Let me know on X! Follow me @DrewRoberts_ on X for more football content!
