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Tom Brady, QB, Buccaneers 

276.5 pass yards: UNDER

Tom Brady and the Bucs have struggled against this Saints defense for two years now. The New Orleans offense doesn’t pose a huge threat on the other side so I expect Brady and company will keep it close to the vest in this one and lean on the run game and the D.

Chase Edmonds, RB, Dolphins

23.5 receiving yards: OVER

Chase Edmonds operated as the clear RB1 in Miami in Week 1. Not only did he see 63% of the snaps, but he also commanded a 12% target share. That was in a positive game script. This game should be higher scoring and the Dolphins could be playing from behind which will only lend to more pass attempts and check downs.

Raheem Mostert, RB, Dolphins

6.45 fantasy points: UNDER

Piggybacking off of Edmonds, Raheem Mostert was in a clear backup/change of pace role in Week 1. I don’t know why that would change now.

Mike Gesicki, TE, Dolphins

19.5 receiving yards: UNDER

We knew Mike Gesicki wasn’t a fit for what new head coach Mike McDaniel wants to do with his tight ends. Trade rumors in late August only confirmed that. In Week 1, Gesicki ran a route on just 43-percent of Tua Tagovailoa’s drop backs. He was targeted once—resulting in a one-yard catch. I’d imagine he won’t 20X his Week 1 receiving total.

Fantasy football

Antonio Gibson, RB, Commanders

84.5 rush + receiving yards: OVER

Antonio Gibson was a smash in Week 1. He showed us he is the uber-talented all-purpose back that we all believed he was. He’s out of the doghouse and ready to crush it again in Week 2 vs a Detroit team that just allowed Miles Sanders to have his best game in a while.

Breece Hall, RB, Jets

27.5 rush yards: OVER

Breece Hall and Michael Carter were in a near 50-50 split in Week 1. Considering the game script will be vastly different than last week’s, this one will likely lean more towards running the ball for the Jets rather than letting Joe Flacco drop back 60 times. 28 rush yards should be an easy accomplishment for the talented rookie.

 

Tyler Conklin, TE, Jets

2.5 receiving yards: OVER

Conklin operated as the clear TE1 for the Jets in Week 1. He was on the field for 92% of the snaps compared to CJ Uzomah’s 27%. Conklin commanded a 12% target share.

Trey Lance, QB, 49ers

38.5 rush yards: OVER

Trey Lance still managed to rush for 54 yards in Week 1 despite monsoon-like conditions. He should have no problem reaching 39.

Jeff Wilson, RB, 49ers

51.5 rush yards: UNDER

Jeff Wilson may have the RB1 job in San Francisco for the foreseeable future, but that doesn’t mean he’s going to get a ton of carries. After all, Deebo Samuel is surely going to get his touches out of the backfield and we could see more opportunities for rookies Jordan Mason and Tyrion Davis-Price. 

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys

54.5 rush yards: UNDER

Ezekiel Elliott is in a 50-50 split backfield in an offense that looked dreadful in Week 1 and is now without its starting quarterback. 

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