#Project32 provides in-depth breakdowns, projections, and rankings of all 32 teams coupled with promotion of some charitable organizations (a ‘My Clause My Cleats’ charity from some of your favorite fantasy players on each team)
In support of the Two All Foundation, the 2021 ‘My Cause My Cleats’ pick of premiere running back Derrick Henry
The Two All Foundation was founded by NFL running back Derrick Henry and exists to level the playing field for today’s youth so that their future success is not limited by the circumstances of their upbringing, background, disability, or influence.
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- Division: AFC South
- 2021 Finish: 12-5
- Divisional Record: 5-1
- 2022 Projected Finish: 10-7
- 2022 Strength of Schedule: 21st
Tennessee Titans Offense
Play Caller: Todd Downing
Todd Downing is in an interesting situation entering the 2022 season. The Titans are coming off a season that saw Derrick Henry miss nine games and Ryan Tannehill struggle down the stretch including an early exit in the playoffs. There were two glaring issues with the Titans offense last season. They struggled to score early in games and were too predictable on first and second downs. They finished sixth in total plays, but only scored on 38.9% of their drives and ranked 23rd in turnover rate, which occurred on 13% of their drives. With all of that said, the team did finish 12-5 and won the AFC South. If they want to repeat as Division champs, they are going to need some help from some new additions like Robert Woods, Treylon Burks, and Austin Hooper. We know what this team can do in the run game, but if they are going to make a playoff run, they are going to have to be able to put up points in a hurry against a loaded AFC Conference.
2021 By the Numbers
- Points Scored: 419 (15th)
- Total Yards: 5,822 (17th)
- Total Plays: 1,133 (6th)
- Yards Per Play: 5.1 (21st)
- 1st Downs: 362 (10th), Passing 194 (18th), Rushing 134 (7th)
- Scoring Rate: 38.9% (16th)
- Turnover Rate: 13.0% (23rd)
- Offensive Plays/Game: 66.6 (6th)
- Pace of Play: 28.9 Seconds Per Play (25th)
- Passing Ratio: 51% (29th)
- Neutral Game Script: 51% (30th)
- RPO: 34 Snaps – 20.6% Success Rate
- Motion: 597 Plays – 33.3% Success Rate
- No Huddle: 130 Plays – 46.9% Success Rate
- Play Action: 176 Plays – 51.1% Success Rate
2021 Target Distribution
WRs: 311 Targets (21st)
RBs: 104 Targets (21st)
TEs: 108 Targets (19th)
2021 Personnel Groupings
11 Personnel: 683 Plays
OVR: 58% (46% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 64% (43% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 36% (50% Success Rate)
12 Personnel: 247 Plays
OVR: 21% (49% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 40% (51% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 60% (48% Success Rate)
Offensive Line Projected Starters
LT: #77 Taylor Lewan
Age: 31 HT: 6’7 WT: 309 College: Michigan Draft: RD1 Pick 11
OVR PFF: 70.9 Pass: 71.0 Run: 64.9 (846 Snaps)
Contract: 2 years / $16,000,000 per year (10th at position) – Expires 2024
LG: #65 Dennis Daley
Age: 26 HT: 6’6 WT: 325 College: South Carolina Draft: RD6 Pick 212
OVR PFF: 51.8 Pass: 36.4 Run: 61.3 (573 snaps)
Contract: 1 year / $1,750,000 per year (25th at position) – Expires 2023
C: #60 Ben Jones
Age: 33 HT: 6’3 WT: 308 College: Georgia Draft: RD4 Pick 99
OVR PFF: 77.8 Pass: 64.8 Run: 81.5 (1,160 Snaps)
Contract: 2 years / $7,000,000 per year (10th at position) – Expires 2024
RG: #64 Nate Davis
Age: 25 HT: 6’3 WT: 316 College: North Carolina-Charlotte Draft: RD3 Pick 82
OVR PFF: 68.8 Pass: 49.2 Run: 71.5 (951 Snaps)
Contract: 1 year / $925,045 per year (57th at position) – Expires 2023
RT: #78 Nicholas Petit-Frere
Age: 22 HT: 6’5 WT: 316 College: Ohio State Draft: RD3 Pick 69
OVR PFF: 78.5 Pass: 60.0 Run: 84.3 (768 Snaps)
Contract: 4 years / $1,363,935 per year (33rd at position) – Expires 2026
“he can certainly bounce back to a high level of efficiency in 2022”
QB Room
#17 Ryan Tannehill
Age: 34 HT: 6’4 WT: 217 College: Texas A&M Draft: RD1 Pick 8
Contract: 2 years / $29,500,000 per year (14th at position) – Expires 2024
If you ask Ryan Tannehill how he played in 2021, he will tell you he didn’t play to the level of his own expectations. Yes, he completed 67% of his passes, but his touchdown rate was a career low 4% and he threw 14 interceptions, which was more than he had thrown in any season since 2013. To make matters worse, the Titans traded A.J. Brown to the Philadelphia Eagles. Brown’s ability to turn short plays into big ones will be a huge loss for Tannehill. The Titans did add Robert Woods, Treylon Burks, Kyle Phillips, and Austin Hooper to this offense, so the skill positions aren’t exactly void of talent. Tannehill’s best days may be behind him, but he can certainly bounce back to a high level of efficiency in 2022.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Passing: 491 Attempts, 67.0% Comp Rate, 3,695 Yards (7.5 YPA), 24 Touchdowns (4.9%)
Rushing: 51 Attempts, 4.8 YPC, 246 Yards, 5 Touchdowns
PROJECTIONS TEMPLATE – GET NOW!
RB Room
#22 Derrick Henry
Age: 28 HT: 6’3 WT: 247 College: Alabama Draft: RD2 Pick 45
Contract: 2 years / $12,500,000 per year (5th at position) – Expires 2024
Derrick Henry was off to an impressive start through the first 8 weeks of last season before suffering a broken bone in his foot. Through Week 8, he had 219 carries for 937 yards and 10 touchdowns and was on pace for a career-high in receptions. His 17-game pace would have put him at 465 carries for 1,991 yards, 21 touchdowns, and 38 receptions for another 327 yards. He was second in juke rate (38.8%), third in evaded tackles (92), and faced a stacked box on 24.2% of his carries with an impressive 4.5 yards per carry. What’s even more impressive for a guy his size is that he’s had five consecutive seasons with a run of at least 74 yards or more including a 99-yard run in 2018. If he can stay healthy for a full season, he could once again finish as the RB1 in 2022.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 8% Target Share, 39 Targets, 29 Receptions, 212 yards (7.3 YPR), 1 Touchdown
Rushing: 66% Rush Share, 338 Attempts, 1,553 Yards (4.6 YPC), 14 Touchdowns
WR Room
#2 Robert Woods
Age: 30 HT: 6’0 WT: 195 College: USC Draft: RD2 Pick 41
Contract: 4 years / $16,250,000 per year (22nd at position) – Expires 2026
Robert Woods missed the last eight games of the season due to an ACL tear suffered at practice with the Los Angeles Rams in 2021. Through the first nine games of the season, he had compiled 45 receptions for 556 yards and four touchdowns. He was on pace for a fourth consecutive season with at least 85 catches and 900 yards receiving. The Titans were able to manufacture a trade for the veteran receiver for a future sixth-round pick, which if you ask me, is a great value-add for this offense. From a fantasy perspective, he has a chance to be the WR1 in this run-heavy offense, but that all depends on his health and the development of rookies Treylon Burks and Kyle Phillips.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 23% Target Share, 113 Targets, 78 Receptions, 928 Yards (11.9 YPR), 5 Touchdowns
“it would not surprise me at all to see Burks lead this team in the receiving game”
#16 Treylon Burks
Age: 22 HT: 6’2 WT: 225 College: Arkansas Draft: RD1 Pick 18
Contract: 4 years / $3,592,398 per year (58th at position) – Expires 2026 – 5th year option available
Treylon Burks played three seasons for the Arkansas Razorbacks and finished his collegiate career with 146 receptions for 2,399 yards and 18 touchdowns. He was selected as the 18th overall pick in the 2022 NFL Draft and arrives in Tennessee as the future of this franchise at the wide receiver position if you believe all the hype. He will fill the void left behind by A.J. Brown in this offense as a guy that can make big plays after the catch and run with some physicality. If Robert Woods is unable to return to form this season, it would not surprise me at all to see Burks lead this team in the receiving game.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 18% Target Share, 88 Targets, 60 Receptions, 908 Yards (15.1 YPR), 7 Touchdowns
#15 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
Age: 25 HT: 6’2 WT: 211 College: Indiana Draft: UDFA
Contract: 1 year / $895,000 per year (210th at position) – Expires 2023
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, an UDFA, took advantage of his opportunities last season when the Titans lost Julio Jones and A.J. Brown to injuries. After finishing his rookie season with just 3 receptions in 2020, Westbrook-Ikhine would finish his second year with 57 targets, 37 receptions, 476 yards, and four touchdowns. He’s earned the trust of Ryan Tannehill and this offense and should be the WR3 in three-receiver sets to start the season. I would tread lightly in terms of overall expectations if Kyle Phillips continues to impress once the season starts.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 11% Target Share, 54 Targets, 36 Receptions, 432 Yards (12.0 YPR), 3 Touchdowns
TE Room
#81 Austin Hooper
Age: 27 HT: 6’4 WT: 254 College: Stanford Draft: RD3 Pick 81
Contract: 1 year / $6,000,000 per year (20th at position) – Expires 2023
Austin Hooper arrives in Tennessee after spending the last two seasons with the Cleveland Browns. He will plug in as the TE1 in this offense and should provide some weekly value from a fantasy perspective. He was locked into a deep tight end group in Cleveland with David Njoku and Harrison Bryant but gets a fresh start with little target competition in Tennessee at the tight end position. He’s compiled 298 receptions for 3,024 yards and 23 touchdowns over his six-year career in the NFL.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 13% Target Share, 64 Targets, 47 Receptions, 471 Yards (10.0 YPR), 4 Touchdowns
**Advanced Stats & Metrics provided by Yards Per Fantasy, Player Profiler, Sharp Football Analysis, Fantasy Pros, Team Rankings, Pro Football Focus, Over the Cap and Pro Football Reference**
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