#Project32 provides in-depth breakdowns, projections, and rankings of all 32 teams coupled with promotion of some charitable organizations (a ‘My Clause My Cleats’ charity from some of your favorite fantasy players on each team)
In support of New York City Police Foundation, the 2021 ‘My Cause My Cleats’ pick of Daniel Jones
The New York City Police Foundation is a nonprofit organization that provides resources for the NYPD to innovate and improve the quality of its services; build bridges with the community; and make New York City a safer place to live, work, and visit.
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- Division: NFC East
- 2021 Finish: 4-13
- Divisional Record: 1-5
- 2022 Projected Finish: 6-11
- 2022 Strength of Schedule: 1st
New York Giants Offense
Play Caller: Brian Daboll
I could write an entire novel on why this offense was so bad in 2021, but I prefer to move on now that Brian Daboll has arrived. Before we begin, I want to clarify that Daniel Jones is not Josh Allen, but I expect him to take a step forward in his progression as a starting quarterback in the NFL. Let’s begin with what Daboll did with his offense in Buffalo. The Bills ranked fifth in RPO and second in play-action snaps in 2021, and we should expect to see more of the same with the Giants’ offense in 2022. He used a variety of mesh concepts and crossing routes to get his receivers in space for chunk plays while using a heavy zone run scheme.
To make this work in New York, the Giants must be able to run the football. That starts with Saquon Barkley, who has missed 18 games over the last two seasons. If the Giants can establish the run early in the season, they have the playmakers in the passing game to make things interesting. I don’t expect to see as many QB-designed run plays even though Jones has the speed to make splash plays with his legs. He’s not as dynamic in the open field as Allen, as he lacks the physicality and ability to make defenders miss in the open field. Jones can take advantage of the defense with zone reads, draw plays, and create and extend plays with his mobility.
2021 By the Numbers
- Points Scored: 258 (31st)
- Total Yards: 4,884 (31st)
- Total Plays: 1,050 (24th)
- Yards Per Play: 4.7 (30th)
- 1st Downs: 299 (31st), Passing 171 (27th), Rushing 90 (27th)
- Scoring Rate: 27.5% (30th)
- Turnover Rate: 15.9% (32nd)
- Offensive Plays/Game: 61.8 (25th)
- Pace of Play: 28.8 Seconds Per Play (16th)
- Passing Ratio: 60% (9th)
- Neutral Game Script: 56% (16th)
- RPO: 128 Snaps – 32% Success Rate
- Motion: 304 Plays – 30.9% Success Rate
- No Huddle: 315 Plays – 36.2% Success Rate
- Play Action: 183 Plays – 35% Success Rate
2021 Target Distribution
WRs: 324 Targets (17th)
RBs: 116 Targets (11th)
TEs: 121 Targets (13th)
2021 Personnel Groupings
11 Personnel: 638 Plays
OVR: 61% (39% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 67% (36% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 33% (47% Success Rate)
12 Personnel: 275 Plays
OVR: 26% (45% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 54% (47% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 46% (43% Success Rate)
Offensive Line Projected Starters
LT: #78 Andrew Thomas
Age: 23 HT: 6’5 WT: 315 College: Georgia Draft: RD1 Pick 4
OVR PFF: 78.9 Pass: 82.1 Run: 68.5 (800 Snaps)
Contract: 2 years / $8,086,397 per year (21st at position) – Expires 2024 – 5th year option available
LG: #75 Joshua Ezeudu
Age: 22 HT: 6’4 WT: 308 College: North Carolina Draft: RD3 Pick 67
OVR PFF: 77.8 (Rookie)
Contract: 4 years / $1,371,381 per year (30th at position) – Expires 2026
C: #76 Jon Feliciano
Age: 30 HT: 6’4 WT: 325 College: Miami Draft: RD4 Pick 128
OVR PFF: 56.7 Pass: 55.1 Run: 57.0 (442 Snaps)
Contract: 1 year / $3,250,000 per year (18th at position) – Expires 2023
RG: #64 Mark Glowinski
Age: 30 HT: 6’4 WT: 310 College: West Virginia Draft: RD4 Pick 134
OVR PFF: 70.1 Pass: 62.6 Run: 70.6 (843 Snaps)
Contract: 3 years / $6,100,000 per year (12th at position) – Expires 2025
RT: #70 Evan Neal
Age: 21 HT: 6’7 WT: 350 College: Alabama Draft: RD1 Pick 7
OVR PFF: 71.2 (Rookie)
Contract: 4 years / $6,137,814 per year (11th at position) – Expires 2026 – 5th year option available
“will it be enough to convince this franchise to lock him up for the future? That remains to be seen”
QB Room
#8 Daniel Jones
Age: 25 HT: 6’5 WT: 230 College: Duke Draft: Rd1 Pick 6
Contract: 1 year / $6,416,014 per year (29th at position) – Expires 2023
This is a prove-it year for Daniel Jones. The Giants declined his fifth-year option, so it’s now or never for the former first-round draft pick. The Giants have revamped the offensive line through the draft and free agency to give Jones the protection he needs to make this offense work. The Giants are hoping that a Brian Daboll offense unlocks the untapped potential of Danny Dimes as he did with Allen in Buffalo. According to Pro Football Focus, the Giants have the most quarterback-friendly schedule this upcoming season, so maybe the stars are starting to align for their young quarterback. They have locked up Kenny Golladay, drafted Kadarius Toney, and Wan’Dale Robinson over the last two seasons, and have a fully healthy Barkley ready to go. I expect Mr. Jones to have his best season yet in 2022, but will it be enough to convince this franchise to lock him up for the future? That remains to be seen.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Passing: 562 Attempts, 63.3% Comp Rate, 3,805 Yards (6.8 YPA), 24 Touchdowns (4.3%)
Rushing: 75 Attempts, 5.8 YPC, 435 Yards, 3 Touchdowns
PROJECTIONS TEMPLATE – GET NOW!
RB Room
#26 Saquon Barkley
Age: 25 HT: 6’0 WT: 232 College: Penn State Draft: RD1 Pick 2
Contract: 1 year / $7,798,688 per year (9th at position) – Expires 2023
This is the year. This is the year we see Saquon Barkley regain the form we saw in his first two seasons in the NFL. He’s now almost two years removed from his torn ACL and looks and sounds like a guy ready to prove many doubters wrong this upcoming season. I expect to see the explosiveness return significantly with an improved offensive line and a zone scheme that fits his style. Barkley ran for 2,310 yards and 17 touchdowns over his first two seasons while also hauling 143 passes for 1,159 yards and six more scores. His ability, both as a runner and pass-catcher, make him one of the most talented backs in the NFL. It’s simply time.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 16% Target Share, 90 Targets, 66 Receptions, 472 yards (7.2 YPR), 2 Touchdowns
Rushing: 57% Rush Share, 252 Attempts, 1,132 Yards (4.5 YPC), 9 Touchdowns
WR Room
#19 Kenny Golladay
Age: 28 HT: 6’4 WT: 213 College: Northern Illinois Draft: RD3 Pick 96
Contract: 3 years / $18,000,000 per year (18th at position) – Expires 2025
Kenny Golladay had not provided the return on investment the Giants hoped for when they signed him as a free agent before the 2021 season. He missed three games and had several nagging injuries throughout last season. He finished with just 39 receptions on 76 targets (48.7% Catch Rate) for 521 yards and never sniffed the endzone. That’s a long fall from the player that had two consecutive 1,000-yard seasons with the Detroit Lions in 2018-19. Golladay possesses the size (6’4) and speed (4.5) to be a threat at all three levels of the field. If the Giants get more bang for their buck with Golladay, they need to utilize him more in the vertical passing game and the red zone. That is where he needs to earn his paycheck.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 19% Target Share, 107 Targets, 64 Receptions, 967 Yards (15.1 YPR), 8 Touchdowns
“he appears locked in and focused on having an outstanding sophomore campaign”
#89 Kadarius Toney
Age: 23 HT: 6’0 WT: 193 College: Florida Draft: RD1 Pick 20
Contract: 3 years / $3,429,877 per year (61st at position) – Expires 2025 – 5th year option available
Kadarius Toney finished his rookie season with 39 receptions on 57 targets for 420 yards but could not get in the end zone. The former first-round draft pick and high school quarterback was rumored to be on the trading block, but after a conversation with Daboll, he appears locked in and focused on having an outstanding sophomore campaign in the NFL. I expect to see Toney utilized in many ways in this offense as a playmaker. We should see him lining up all over the field as the Giants look to take advantage of his speed (4.43) and ability to make people miss. He finished first in juke rate (66.7%) and seventh in target rate (28.9%) while on the field.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 15% Target Share, 84 Targets, 57 Receptions, 619 Yards (10.9 YPR), 4 Touchdowns
#17 Wan’Dale Robinson
Age: 21 HT: 5’8 WT: 185 College: Kentucky Draft: RD2 Pick 43
Contract: 4 years / $2,046,292 per year (88th at position) – Expires 2026
Wan’Dale Robinson is another speed guy (4.44) in this wide receiver room. He spent his first two years in college playing for the Nebraska Cornhuskers before transferring to Kentucky for his junior season. In his lone season at Kentucky, Robinson finished with 104 receptions for 1,334 yards and seven touchdowns. He was explosive in the open field and could be a great gadget guy in this offense. He also ran the ball 141 times in college for 691 yards and four touchdowns. Daboll was good at using guys like Cole Beasley and Isaiah McKenzie in Buffalo, so I expect him to play that role in this offense.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 11% Target Share, 62 Targets, 41 Receptions, 439 Yards (10.7 YPR), 3 Touchdowns
TE Room
#83 Ricky Seals-Jones
Age: 27 HT: 6’5 WT: 243 College: Texas A&M Draft: UDFA
Contract: 1 year / $1,187,500 per year (59th at position) – Expires 2023
Ricky Seals-Jones replaces Evan Engram at the tight end position. Engram struggled with drops throughout his time in New York, but Seals-Jones doesn’t come with sticky hands either, with a career catch rate of only 53.3%. He’s played for four teams in five years and has never finished a season with more than 34 receptions. It’s a downgrade at the position, but he will have opportunities in this offense if he can hold off Jordan Akins and recently drafted Daniel Bellinger.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 10% Target Share, 51 Targets, 32 Receptions, 344 Yards (10.8 YPR), 4 Touchdowns
**Advanced Stats & Metrics provided by Yards Per Fantasy, Player Profiler, Sharp Football Analysis, Fantasy Pros, Team Rankings, Pro Football Focus, Over the Cap and Pro Football Reference**
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