#Project32 provides in-depth breakdowns, projections, and rankings of all 32 teams coupled with promotion of some charitable organizations (a ‘My Clause My Cleats’ charity from some of your favorite fantasy players on each team)
In support of Choose 180, the 2021 ‘My Cause My Cleats’ pick of the oldest coach in the NFL Pete Carroll.
CHOOSE 180 envisions a future where youthful behavior is decriminalized and young people are offered restorative practices in lieu of traditional prosecution. In place of the school-to-prison pipeline, a community will exist to help young people realize their potential and provide them with the tools necessary to achieve their goals.
#Project32 Menu
- Division: NFC West
- 2021 Finish: 7-10
- Divisional Record: 3-3
- 2022 Projected Finish: 4-13
- 2022 Strength of Schedule: 22nd
Seattle Seahawks Offense
Play Caller: Shane Waldron
Year one with Shane Waldron calling plays in Seattle did not go as planned. Waldron arrived in Seattle after spending four years under Sean McVay with the Los Angeles Rams. When he arrived in Seattle, there were a few assumptions about what he would bring to this Seattle offense. We thought he would utilize the tight ends more and scheme more in-breaking routes that were a staple in the McVay offense. This creates opportunities in space for playmakers to create yards after the catch. Instead, the Seahawks only targeted the tight end position 97 times (26th), and Russell Wilson preferred to attack defenses outside the numbers and to the intermediate to deep parts of the field. To compound matters, the Seahawks only targeted the running backs 67 times, which was dead last in the NFL. It appears the Seahawks are in full rebuild mode on offense with Wilson now in Denver and an offensive line that Pro Football network ranks 31st heading into the pre-season.
2021 By the Numbers
- Points Scored: 395 (16th)
- Total Yards: 5,606 (20th)
- Total Plays: 854 (32nd)
- Yards Per Play: 5.8 (9th)
- 1st Downs: 302 (30th), Passing 166 (30th), Rushing 106 (20th)
- Scoring Rate: 34.8% (19th)
- Turnover Rate: 7.0% (30th)
- Offensive Plays/Game: 56.1 (32nd)
- Pace of Play: 28.3 Seconds Per Play (12th)
- Passing Ratio: 57% (20th)
- Neutral Game Script: 56% (16th)
- RPO: 127 Snaps (31.5% Success Rate)
- Motion: 310 Plays (37.4% Success Rate)
- No Huddle: 175 Plays (41.7% Success Rate)
- Play Action: 164 Plays (45.1% Success Rate)
2021 Target Distribution
WRs: 309 Targets (22nd)
RBs: 67 Targets (32nd)
TEs: 97 Targets (26th)
2021 Personnel Groupings
11 Personnel: 680 Plays
OVR: 67% (45% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 66% (42% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 34% (50% Success Rate)
12 Personnel: 270 Plays
OVR: 26% (53% Success Rate)
Pass Rate: 43% (52% Success Rate)
Run Rate: 57% (53% Success Rate)
Offensive Line Projected Starters
LT: #67 Charles Cross
Age: 21 HT: 6’5 WT: 310 College: Mississippi State Draft: RD1 Pick 9
OVR PFF: 86.6 Pass: 84.9 Run: 87.2
Contract: 4 years / $5,345,907 per year (23rd at position) – Expires 2026 – 5th year option available
LG: #68 Damien Lewis
Age: 25 HT: 6’2 WT: 327 College: LSU Draft: RD3 Pick 69
OVR PFF: 57.1 Pass: 47.9 Run: 60.3 (696 Snaps)
Contract: 2 years / $1,225,537 per year (33rd at position) – Expires 2024
C: #61 Kyle Fuller
Age: 28 HT: 6’5 WT: 320 College: Baylor Draft: RD7 Pick 243
OVR PFF: 46.5 Pass: 31.3 Run 53.6 (447 Snaps)
Contract: 1 year / $1,185,000 per year (35th at position) – Expires 2023
RG: #66 Gabe Jackson
Age: 31 HT: 6’3 WT: 335 College: Mississippi State Draft: RD3 Pick 81
OVR PFF: 63.6 Pass: 55.7 Run 64.3 (992 Snaps)
Contract: 2 years / $7,525,000 per year (9th at position) – Expires 2024
RT: #74 Jake Curhan
Age: 24 HT: 6’6 WT: 316 College: California Draft: UDFA
OVR PFF: 54.0 Pass: 37.2 Run: 62.1 (405 Snaps)
Contract: 2 years / $817,833 per year (77th at position) – Expires 2024
“The reality is that the Seahawks are not a very good football team”
QB Room
#7 Geno Smith
Age: 31 HT: 6’3 WT: 221 College: West Virginia Draft: RD2 Pick 39
Contract: 1 year / $3,500,000 per year (36th at position) – Expires 2023
Early indications are that the Seahawks will go with Geno Smith over Drew Lock heading into Week 1 of the NFL season. It makes sense considering Smith was on the roster last season, so he knows the offense and already has a built-in rapport with D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Smith played in four games, including three starts for Seattle last year, and compiled a 68% completion rate with 702 yards passing and a 5:1 touchdown to interceptions ratio. However, over his eight-year career, Smith has started 34 games, compiled a 13-21 record, and thrown more interceptions (37) than touchdowns (34). The reality is that the Seahawks are not a very good football team, and even if Smith holds off Lock all season, he’s simply a bridge to the 2023 NFL Draft, where the Seahawks will undoubtedly draft their next franchise quarterback.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Passing: 446 Attempts, 63.1% Comp Rate, 3,201 Yards (7.2 YPA), 21 Touchdowns (4.7%)
Rushing: 42 Attempts, 4.1 YPC, 172 Yards, 0 Touchdowns
PROJECTIONS TEMPLATE – GET NOW!
RB Room
#20 Rashaad Penny
Age: 26 HT: 5’11 WT: 220 College: San Diego State Draft: RD1 Pick 27
Contract: 1 year / $5,750,000 per year (16th at position) – Expires 2023
Rashaad Penny, the former first-round draft pick, had his best season as a pro in 2021. He ended the season on an absolute tear, ripping off 671 yards (7.3 YPC) and six touchdowns in the final five games. He led the league in yards per touch (6.4) and break-away runs (15) and took second in yards created per touch (3.83). On the flip side, he gives you very little in the passing game, with only eight targets all season. He enters the pre-season as the RB1 in Seattle but faces stiff competition from second-round draft pick Kenneth Walker III. I expect Pete Carroll to give Penny more volume in the run game early in the season, but I expect this to be KWIII’s backfield by mid-season at the latest.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 3% Target Share, 13 Targets, 10 Receptions, 75 yards (7.5 YPR), 0 Touchdowns
Rushing: 38% Rush Share, 199 Attempts, 875 Yards (4.4 YPC), 5 Touchdowns
#9 Kenneth Walker III
Age: 21 HT: 5’9 WT: 211 College: Michigan State Draft: RD2 Pick 41
Contract: 4 years / $2,110,395 per year (33rd at position) – Expires 2026
Kenneth Walker III needed a change of scenery heading into his junior college football season. He transferred to Michigan State after two seasons on the field at Wake Forest, where he totaled 217 carries for 1,158 yards and 17 touchdowns. When he arrived at Michigan State, it didn’t take him long to make a lasting impression. He had 263 carries for 1,636 yards and 18 touchdowns. He was an AP All-American, Doak Walker and Walter Camp Player of the Year winner, and finished sixth in the Heisman Trophy voting. He brings sub-4.4 speed to Seattle giving them two backs with homerun potential. The knock on KWIII is his lack of passing game work at the college level. This was more scheme than a knock on his ability as a catcher as neither Wake Forest nor Michigan State target the running back position as a critical part of their offense. Early reports are that he has shown pass-catching ability and looks comfortable as a receiver in this offense.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 7% Target Share, 31 Targets, 22 Receptions, 177 Yards (8.0 YPR), 1 Touchdown
Rushing: 42% Rush Share, 220 Attempts, 923 Yards (4.2 YPC), 8 Touchdowns
WR Room
#14 D.K. Metcalf
Age: 24 HT: 6’4 WT: 235 College: Ole Miss Draft: RD 2 Pick 64
Contract: 4 years / $24,000,000 per year (6th at position) – Expires 2026
D.K. Metcalf is a unicorn. His athletic profile was off the charts. He stands 6’3 and 228 pounds, with sub-4.35 speed, a 35” reach, a 40” vertical, and benched 225 for 27 reps at the combine. You could say he performed well at the spandex Olympics. However, when he came into the league, there were concerns about his ability as a route runner, his drop rate, and his ability to manipulate defenders. As the famous Lee Corso once said, “not so fast, my friend.” According to Matt Harmon at Reception Perception, Metcalf has cleared a 72% success rate vs. man coverage in his three years in the league and has a win rate of 80.4% against press coverage. In his three years in the league, he’s averaging 119 targets, 72 receptions, 1,056 yards, and 9.7 touchdowns. His ADP has steadily dropped since Wilson moved on to Denver. BUY. THE. DIP.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 28% Target Share, 125 Targets, 79 Receptions, 1,117 Yards (14.2 YPR), 9 Touchdowns
“Lockett is not going to turn into Mr. Slant anytime soon”
#16 Tyler Lockett
Age: 29 HT: 5’10 WT: 182 College: Kansas State Draft: RD3 Pick 69
Contract: 4 years / $17,250,000 per year (17th at position) – Expires 2026
Tyler Lockett has put up 4,251 receiving yards on 312 receptions for 36 touchdowns over the last four seasons, and nobody is talking about it. Lockett finished first in route participation (98.3%), seventh in average target distance (13.6), third in deep targets (30), ninth in yards per route run (2.58), and fourth in yards per target (11.0). Yes, he no longer has one of the best deep-ball passers in the NFL behind center, but Lockett is not going to turn into Mr. Slant anytime soon. The duo of Metcalf and Lockett will continue to dominate the target share in this offense.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 23% Target Share, 103 Targets, 68 Receptions, 913Yards (13.4 YPR), 6 Touchdowns
TE Room
#87 Noah Fant
Age: 24 HT: 6’4 WT: 249 College: Iowa Draft: RD1 Pick 20
Contract: 2 years / $3,147,681 per year (35th at position) – Expires 2024
Noah Fant would be rising in value had the Broncos been able to keep him in Denver with Wilson on the way. Instead, he ends up in Seattle without Wilson. He went from Lock and Teddy Bridgewater to Geno Smith and…Lock. At 24, he’s entering his prime as an NFL tight end. He’s already accumulated 170 receptions for 1,905 yards and ten touchdowns through his first three seasons in the NFL. With an aging Joe Flacco, Lock, and Bridgewater as his quarterbacks. He has 4.5 speed and the ability to attack the football at the high point with a 39.5” vertical leap. He’s coming off two consecutive seasons with 90+ targets, so even though the scenery has changed, the talent is crystal clear. I like the player but do not like the situation.
2022 Fantasy Outlook:
Receiving: 16% Target Share, 76 Targets, 52 Receptions, 577 Yards (11.1 YPR), 3 Touchdowns
**Advanced Stats & Metrics provided by Yards Per Fantasy, Player Profiler, Sharp Football Analysis, Fantasy Pros, Team Rankings, Pro Football Focus, Over the Cap and Pro Football Reference**
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