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Welcome to Drew and I’s Week 14 prop bets series, each week we go head to head with our props and track our past success. Each unit is equal to $5.00’s though this is merely an advisement and we strongly encourage you to bet within your means. If you think you have a gambling problem please click here to get help. This will be an Underdog Prop bet article, you can use code: YARDSPER to receive a 100% first-time deposit match up to $100. Since Drew is under the weather I am going to give you the two plays I would do and some honorable mentions. The two props I have are both 1 Unit bets for those that want to bet these separately.

Britt’s Record: 10-7 (+4 Units)

MIKE GESICKI – OVER 46.5 REC YARD

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The process here is really quite simple, with Jaylen Waddle out the pass catchers have an opportunity to see more targets. Since targets are distributed to the players who are talented this bodes well for Mike Gesicki. From @WyattB_FF who sent out a tweet that inspired this prop play saying “This season Mike Gesicki has garnered a 18% target share. With Jaylen Waddle being out, that share should go over 20%. With the Dolphins averaging 38.5 pass attempts a game, it’s fair to expect 8+ targets for Gesicki against a bad Jets D. Sign me up for $5000 on #Draftkings.” Gesicki is averaging 6.82 yards per target this season, on games he had over seven targets he went over this prop total four out of the six games. Those were games also with Waddle playing as well. The thorn in the side here is that Gesicki puts up another Week 10 performance where he gets seven targets for no yards.

JAMES ROBINSON – OVER 99.5 ALL PURPOSE YARDS

With Urban Meyers released from his duties, its safe to say that the entire organization is released from a plague. James Robinson has a few additional factors elevating him this week as well. Darrell Bevell has came out and stated that Robinson is their lead running back, and Carlos Hyde is also slated to miss this game. The hindrance for Robinson has been opportunities this year averaging 14 a game. The Jaguars have averaged 22 rushes a game and 4.69 targets to the running back. Since Hyde is not going to make the start I feel comfortable anticipating Robinson to see at least 18 touches this week. On the year Robinson is averaging 5.2 yards per touch, which would put his average at 93.5 yards with 18 touches. The edge for me is that the Texans are No.28 in run DVOA and I fully expect the Jaguars to win this game. Which leads me to believe that Robinson to pass this prop with relative ease. The thorn in the side here is that Robinson has only surpassed this total four times this year, and Bevell’s play calling is a wild card.

Honorable Mentions Prop Bets:

Deebo Samuel under receiving yards – No Mitchell means a big Aiyuk game and a lot of Deebo carries.

Zach Ertz over receiving yards OR anytime touchdown – Games with Hopkins out Ertz has benefitted from a more condensed target tree and more target volume.

Christian Kirk/ AJ Green over receiving yards – Kirk and Green have been successful this year and with Hopkins out, the putrid Lions defense (No.30 pass DVOA) should provide the perfect mix to hit the overs.

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