Mike White – UNDER 253.5 Passing Yards -114
1 unit bet: $5.00$ returns $9.40
Mike White had 40.98-percent of his passing yards come via check downs to the running back. The Bengals let White move the ball underneath, in hindsight an act of hubris. The Colts will need to adjust the defense to make the check downs less prolific which in turn will deflate White’s passing yards. Mike White has now provided two weeks of game film and are on the road. The thorn in this argument is that Corey Davis may be active this week and the Colts are currently ranked No.22 in pass DVOA (defense-adjusted variance over average). The Colts are averaging allowing 257 passing yards a game.
Carson Wentz – OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns -149
2 Unit Bet: $10.00 returns $16.70
Carson Wentz is currently averaging 1.75 touchdown passes a game. In his eight games as a Colt, Wentz has thrown for under two touchdowns twice. The Jets are ranked No. 29 in total DVOA and are No.28 against the pass and No.27 against the run. The thorn in the side for this bet is that the Colts get up early and the incentive to pass decreases significantly.
Michael Pittman – OVER 69.5 Receiving Yards
1 Unit Bet: $5.00 returns $9.40
Michael Pittman so far this year is averaging 74.25 yards a game. Through his eight games Pittman has gone over this prop four out of his eight games. Similar to the argument for the Wentz prop, Pittman is facing the No.27 passing DVOA. The thorn for this prop is the simple fact that Pittman has had games in which he disappears, luckily that is usually accompanied when Hilton and Campbell are healthy; neither currently are.
Jonathan Taylor – 1 ANYTIME Touchdown -200
2 Unit Bet: $10.00 returns $15.00
Jonathan Taylor is currently averaging 1.625 touchdowns this season. Since Week 4 Taylor has scored a touchdown in every single game. Since Week 4 Taylor has averaged 2.6 touchdowns a game. The Jets are currently ranked No. 27 run DVOA. The thorn in the side of this prop is that with these type of props you always risk the fact that Taylor never finds the end zone; however the four week trend is promising.
Money Bag Parlay
Parlays are bankroll drainers. I just want that to be known prior to thinking this is a lock, this bets likelihood of hitting is far less than any others but the reward in substantial. Here is the parlay;
Michael Pittman OVER 69.5 Receiving Yards
Jamison Crowder OVER 5.5 Receptions
Michael Carter OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards
Carson Wentz OVER 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Elijah Moore OVER 28.5 Receiving Yards
$5.00 returns $41.25
If your book allows it Jonathan Taylor 2 ANYTIME TD’s and Jets +10.5 are two that can also be added.
Please be bet responsible and have fun!
