#Project32 – Seattle Seahawks

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Seattle Seahawks 2021 projections

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#Project32 Menu

2020 Recap

Division: NFC West

2020 Finish: 12-4 (1st in NFC West)

2020 Tendencies:

  • Passing Ratio: 58% (14th)
  • Neutral Game Script: 60% (7th)
  • Offensive Scheme: Play Action

Personnel Groupings:

  • 11 Personnel (1RB, 1TE, 3WR) = 66%
  • 12 Personnel (1RB, 2TE, 2WR) = 28%
  • 10 Personnel (1RB, 0TE, 4WR) = 2%
  • 21 Personnel (2RB, 1TE, 2WR) = 1%
  • 22 Personnel (2RB, 2TE, 1WR) = 1%
  • 13 Personnel (1RB, 3TE, 1WR) = 1%

Coaching Room

Head Coach: Pete Carroll

Pete Carroll enters his 12th season with the Seattle Seahawks with a record of 122-71 that includes ten trips to the playoffs, five NFC West titles, two trips to the Super Bowl, and a Super Bowl Championship. He’s also put together nine consecutive winning seasons in Seattle and has this team built to make another run. Prior to his return to the NFL in 2010, he was the head coach of the USC Trojans for nine years. During that time, the Trojans were 97-19 (.836) with seven conference titles, won six BCS bowl games, and two national championships in back to back seasons. Although, due to NCAA violations the 2004 championship was vacated by the NCAA in 2010. Carroll is one of only three head coaches to have won a college national championship and a Super Bowl. He will turn 70 just after the start of the NFL season, but you would never know it as he seems as happy and energetic as ever.

Offensive Coordinator: Shane Waldron

Shane Waldron was hired off Sean McVay’s staff with the Los Angeles Rams and will look to blend what Russell Wilson does well with what has worked so well with the Rams. There is no doubt that the Seahawks will continue to use outside zone run schemes and bootleg actions that help move the pocket for one of the NFL’s best passers when off-script. One change that we should see is the Rams liked to use quick in-breaking routes to take advantage of the middle of the field with guys like Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods whereas, Russell Wilson likes to attack the outside more with guys like D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Early reports indicate that Wilson has been very pleased with what Waldron wants to incorporate into this offense with moving guys around and playing fast. There are more quick concepts, but also opportunities to take shots to take advantage of an overly aggressive defense. I personally enjoy when “Mr. Unlimited” has an opportunity to cook, but that may just be my Metcalf and Lockett shares talking.

Overall Rank: 10th/32

OL Room

LT Duane Brown – PFF 87.8, Pass Blocking 84.9, Run Blocking 81.4

Duane Brown has played 14 years in the NFL and started 186 games during that time including the last 53 with the Seattle Seahawks. Over the last 11 years he’s never graded below a 74.1 in Overall PFF Grade and has 7 years with an 80.0 or better. He finished the 2020 season as the fifth ranked tackle in Overall PFF Grade while also finishing sixth in Pass Block Grade and 12th in Run Block Grade. It appears there is still a lot of gas left in the tank.

LG Jordan Simmons – PFF 50.0, Pass Blocking 50.9, Run Blocking 49.2

Jordan Simmons looks to be the starter heading into camp, but he will be pushed by Ethan Pocic and Phil Haynes for playing time. Simmons did not play well last season with an Overall PFF Grade of just 50.0 on 621 snaps. He missed the 2019 season due to a knee injury and has a long history of knee problems dating back to his college career. The Seahawks will need Simmons to improve in 2021 or they will go in another direction.

C Damien Lewis – PFF 70.2, Pass Blocking 48.4, Run Blocking 81.5

Damien Lewis will make the permanent move to center after playing most of his snaps at the right guard spot in 2020. Lewis started every game as a rookie in 2020 after being drafted in the third round (69th overall) out of LSU. He finished 13th in Overall PFF Grade and 5th in Run Block Grade but was near the bottom of the pack in Pass Blocking with a 48.4.

RG Gabe Jackson – PFF 63.7, Pass Blocking 69.9, Run Blocking 58.5

Gabe Jackson joins the Seattle Seahawks after being traded from the Las Vegas Raiders. He spent six seasons with the Raiders playing left guard during his first two years in the league before making a permanent switch to right guard in 2016. Over the last two years, Jackson has scored near the middle of the pack in Overall PFF Grade and appears to be a long way from his 13th overall finish in 2018.

RT Brandon Shell – PFF 71.4, Pass Blocking 78.8, Run Blocking 63.4

Brandon Shell spent his first four seasons in the NFL with the New York Jets before being signed as a free agent by the Seattle Seahawks before the 2020 season. In his first season with the Seahawks he had the second-best Overall PFF Grade of his career and ranked 20th in Pass Block Grade. Shell missed five games due to injury but played well enough for the Seahawks to feel like he was an upgrade over Germain Ifedi who is now playing with the Chicago Bears.

New Toys: N/A

Old News: Mike Iupati (10/10), Chad Wheeler (5/0)

Overall Rank: 18th/32

QB Room

Russell Wilson (QB8)

Russell Wilson is entering his 10th season in the NFL and is as consistent and reliable as they come at the quarterback position. He’s been selected to eight Pro Bowls, won a Super Bowl, led 24 Fourth Quarter Comebacks and 31 Game-Winning Drives. Over the first eight games of 2020, we got to see Russ cook as he completed 71% of his passes for 2541 yards and 28 touchdowns, which projected over 16 games would be 5082 yards and 56 touchdowns. The second half of the season was a different story as his numbers tailed off with 1671 yards passing and only 12 touchdowns while completing 66% of his passes. The Seahawks responded by letting Brian Schottenheimer go and replacing him with Shane Waldron who has no plans of keeping Russ from cooking, but there will be more quick game concepts and tempo which Russ should thrive in. It doesn’t hurt when a team that already has D.K. Metcalf and Tyler Lockett add D’Wayne Eskridge and Gerald Everett to the mix.

Fantasy Outlook

Passing: 579 attempts, 69.0%, 4814 yards, 35 touchdowns

Rushing: 73 attempts, 451 yards, 3 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 379.7

New Toys: N/A

Old News: N/A

Position Fantasy Rank: 9th/32

RB Room

Chris Carson (RB17)

Chris Carson has signed a two-year extension with the Seattle Seahawks, so the backfield is set, and the Seahawks are looking to make a Super Bowl run. Carson has been the RB1 in Seattle for the last three years and has posted two seasons over 1000 yards rushing with 27 total touchdowns during that time. He has averaged 4.6 yards per carry for his career with an 80.8% catch rate on 125 targets. The only downside to Carson is that he has yet to play a full 16-game schedule and missed four games in 2020. If he can find a way to play a full 17 games, he can hit 1400 yards rushing and 50-plus receptions putting him in RB1 territory.

Fantasy Outlook

Rushing: 273 attempts, 1256 yards, 9 touchdowns

Receiving: 52 targets, 42 receptions, 334 yards, 2 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 266.6

Rashaad Penny (RB71)

Rashaad Penny thought that 2021 was going to be his opportunity to be the RB1 in Seattle in an offense that has prided itself on its ability to run the football. Instead, the Seahawks signed Chris Carson to a lucrative two-year extension so Penny will continue to be a solid handcuff at best, if Carson is healthy. In 27 career games, Penny has only produced 823 yards rushing on 161 carries over three seasons and has missed 19 games over the last two years.

Fantasy Outlook

Rushing: 59 attempts, 242 yards, 2 touchdowns

Receiving: 12 targets, 9 receptions, 61 yards, 0 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 50.9

New Toys: N/A

Old News: Carlos Hyde (10/1)

Position Fantasy Rank: 24th/32

WR Room

D.K. Metcalf (WR10)

D.K. Metcalf put on a show in his second season in the NFL with 129 targets, 83 receptions, 1303 yards, and 10 touchdowns. This dude is a freak of nature at 6’3, 230 pounds, with 4.3 speed. In 2020, he was second in air yards (1783), third in deep targets (31), fifth in completed air yards (943), ninth in fantasy points per game (17.0), and tenth in yards per target (10.1). I expect to see Waldron use D.K. a little bit differently in 2021 with more intermediate route concepts to take advantage of his physicality and ability to create yards after the catch.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 139 targets, 90 receptions, 1400 yards, 13 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 308.3

Tyler Lockett (WR15)

Tyler Lockett set career highs in targets (132), receptions (100), and first down receptions (57) while falling just four yards shy of breaking his career high in receiving yards (1054). The numbers as a whole look great, but from a pure fantasy perspective, almost half of that production came in just three games. However, he has hit 8 or more touchdowns for three consecutive seasons while also hitting 1,000 yards receiving in two straight. I believe he will continue to be the WR2 in this offense and hit 1000 yards receiving and 8 or more touchdowns once again.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 133 targets, 97 receptions, 1264 yards, 8 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 271.6

D’Wayne Eskridge (WR83)

D’Wayne Eskridge was selected in the second round of the 2021 NFL Draft out of Western Michigan University. He will immediately plug into the slot role this season on a team that uses three receiver sets 68% of the time. With Lockett and Metcalf on the outside there should be space to work underneath coverages giving him the opportunity to be a threat in this offense.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 58 targets, 39 receptions, 535 yards, 4 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 116.9

New Toys: N/A

Old News: David Moore (16/7)

Position Fantasy Rank: 10th/32

TE Room

Gerald Everett (TE16)

Gerald Everett followed Shane Waldron to the Seattle Seahawks and is familiar with the scheme and should have no problem stepping in as the TE1 on this roster. Everett should settle in as the third option in this offense behind Metcalf and Lockett which could provide weekly upside. He was second fiddle to Tyler Higbee with the Rams, but I expect him to embrace his new role and set career highs in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 75 targets, 53 receptions, 580 yards, 6 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 146.7

New Toys: N/A

Old News: Jacob Hollister (16/4), Luke Wilson (5/0)

Position Fantasy Rank: 21st/32

2021 Full Player Projections

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Strength of Schedule (SOS): #16 (.496 127-129)

2021 Predicted Finish: 10-7 (3rd NFC West)

Seattle Seahawks 2021 projections
Note: all projections are PPR scoring

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