2024 NFL Week 7 Best Bets
2024 NFL Week 7 Best Bets
Week 6 was one of the worst weeks for the sportsbooks in recent memory, with only two underdogs winning outright. With just two teams on the bye this week, we get an extra Monday night football game and more opportunities for the hungry dogs to run in Week 7. Here are my favorite Week 7 NFL bets.
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Week 6: 1-3-1 (-2.36 units)
Year to Date: 12-12-1 (-1.4 units)
Cincinnati Bengals (2-4) vs. Cleveland Browns (1-5)
Cleveland +6; O/U 41.5
Under 41.5 (-115)
We now have a full 17-game sample size of DeShaun Watson in Cleveland’s offense. The Browns average 19.2 PPG when Watson plays in at least 90% of the Browns’ snaps. While Nick Chubb returns for Cleveland, I’m not expecting him to have a huge workload given his devastating injury over a year ago. Joe Burrow has struggled against Cleveland, just 1-5 in his career. Burrow has just two starts against Cleveland’s DC Jim Schwartz: last year’s opener (3-points; 82 yards on 31 attempts) and his third-career start against the Eagles. The Under has hit in the last three between these teams with Burrow playing. I like this one to be low scoring in the Battle of Ohio.
Carolina Panthers (1-5) vs. Washington Commanders (4-2)
Washington -9.5; O/U 51.5
Over 51.5 (-110)
The Over is 5-1 for both teams this season, and the Over has hit in each of Andy Dalton’s five starts with Carolina. Carolina’s defense is the worst in the league, allowing 36 PPG in their last three since their first win. I like Andy Dalton and the Panthers to score enough to help this Over cash, mainly on the back of Jayden Daniels and the Commander’s offense.
(Mon.) Baltimore (4-2) vs. Tampa Bay (4-2)
Tampa Bay +3.5; O/U 49
Baltimore -3.5 (-108)
Baltimore Team Total Over 26.5 (-115)
Lamar Jackson shines on Monday night, accounting for 17 total touchdowns while throwing zero interceptions. The Ravens are 5-2 in those games, with two losses coming against AFC West (Chiefs & Raiders) teams; they are 3-0 against NFC teams and outscored the Rams, Saints, and 49ers 105-38 in those games. Baltimore has cleared 27 points in six of the seven MNF contests with Jackson. The Ravens are 22-3 against the NFC when Jackson starts, averaging 30.1 PPG in their last ten. I like the Ravens to make it five-straight wins by winning in Tampa on Monday night.
Outright Underdogs (.5 Units):
Week 6: 0-2 (-1 units)
Year to Date: 2-9 (-2.9 units)
Seattle @ Atlanta +140
Seattle has lost their last three, including their last two at home. But those three losses came in an 11-day span. After a mini bye, I like Seattle to come into Atlanta and pull an upset.
Kansas City @ San Francisco +102
Patrick Mahomes is 11-1-1 ATS as an underdog in his career. Off a bye with the Chiefs, Andy Reid is 12-4 SU. That improves to 9-1 with Mahomes. Reid is 4-0 against Shanahan in their respective coaching careers. I like the Chiefs in this rematch.
What are some of your favorite Week 7 NFL best bets? Let me know on X! Follow me @DrewRoberts_ on X for more football content!
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