2024 NFL Week 3 Best Bets
2024 NFL Week 3 Best Bets
The NFL calendar continues to roll on as we approach the end of September. We’ve had many surprise teams to start the season, both positive and negative. We are getting to the point in the season where team’s identities are starting to form. But some teams have time to get on the right track. Here are my favorite Week 3 NFL bets.
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Week 1: 2-2 (-.26 units)
Year to Date: 3-3-1 (-.38 units)
Denver Broncos (0-2) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-0)
Tampa Bay -6.5; O/U 41
Tampa Bay -6.5 (-112)
Bo Nix has attempted the 3rd most passing attempts this season (77), trailing only Jared Goff and Deshaun Watson. Tampa Bay’s defense has seen the most pass attempts this season (80); they are the only defense yet to allow a passing touchdown. Denver’s offense ranks 27th in rushing yards per game (81.5) and 25th in YPC (3.7), with Nix as their leading rusher. I’m expecting the Todd Bowles’ defense to blitz the rookie and cause problems for this offense. Even with Pat Surtain II taking away Mike Evans, I like Baker Mayfield to continue his efficient start (73.5% completion rate; 9.7 YPA). Tampa Bay rolls to 3-0 at home.
Carolina Panthers (0-2) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (1-1)
Las Vegas -6.5; O/U 40
Over 40 (-110)
The Panthers have allowed 50 points in the first half this season before opposing offenses letting off the gas. Carolina’s defensive touchdown rate via the pass is 11.4%. Only the Colts allow more yards on the ground (199.5 YPG). But the Panthers now – potentially – have an option at quarterback. While under a different coaching regime, Andy Dalton’s lone start in Carolina resulted in completing 34 of 58 attempts for 361 yards and two scores. Add in the additions of Diontae Johnson and rookie Xavier Legette. While Antonio Pierce has changed the narrative of this team, the Under is just 6-5 since taking over as the head coach. I like Andy Dalton to give this team a jolt it desperately needed and this being closer than expected.
Baltimore Ravens (0-2) vs. Dallas Cowboys (1-1)
Dallas +1; O/U 47.5
Baltimore -1 (-110)
Lamar Jackson is 20-3 against the NFC in his career. Since the start of 2021, the Ravens are 10-1 with a point differential of +123 against NFC teams with Jackson under center. Dallas allowed 4.9 YPC to the Browns in Week 1 and the Saints in Week 2 (23rd). The Ravens rank 3rd in YPC, trailing only the Colts and Packers at 5.7 YPC. This is a Ravens defense that had Super Bowl aspirations, and is staring down a potential 0-3 start. I believe they get back on track with a win in Jerry’s World.
San Francisco 49ers (1-1) vs. Los Angeles Rams (0-2)
Los Angeles (N) +6.5; O/U 43.5
Under 43.5 (-112)
Injuries are lined up on both offenses. The 49ers will be without Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel, and potentially George Kittle. The Rams are without star receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. In Stafford’s six starts against the 49ers, the Rams have averaged 16.7 PPG. Five of those came with Kupp in the lineup. In his five career games without Kupp, Stafford averages just under 62% completion rate and just 2.7% touchdown rate on 184 total attempts. Not to mention the Rams’ offensive line has not performed well in their first two games. I expect this one to fall under the total in this NFC West matchup.
Outright Underdogs (.5 Units):
Week 1: 0-2 (-1 units)
Year to Date: 0-3 (-1.5 units)
Green Bay @ Tennessee +105
I’ve been on Tennessee twice as an Outright Underdog, and they are still winless. I know their defense is strong, but a Will Levis led team should not be favored over many teams. The Packers handle business in Nashville.
Carolina @ Las Vegas +215
If there was ever a time to back Carolina, it’s after they bench the struggling Bryce Young. Not to mention a potential Raiders letdown after a monster comeback win over the Ravens. Carolina is alive with Dalton under center.
What are some of your favorite Week 3 NFL best bets? Let me know on X! Follow me @DrewRoberts_ on X for more football content!
RANKINGS | Weekly | DYNASTY |
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