2024 College Football Week 14 Best Bets
2024 College Football Week 14 Best Bets
For the first time this year, every FBS opponent is playing another FBS team in Week 14. Many teams are fighting for a postseason game, while others are counting down the minutes until the 2024 season concludes. And there are still playoff implications for those seven at-large bids. Here are my favorite Week 14 college football bets.
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Week 13: 3-2 (+.82 Units)
Year to Date: 33-28-1 (+2.35 Units)
Michigan (6-5) vs. #2 Ohio State (10-1)
Ohio State -19.5; O/U 43
Over 43 (-110)
The last 12 meetings have gone over 50 between these two. At least one team has scored 30 in this rivalry going back to 2012. This game is four years in the making for Ryan Day and the Buckeyes, who have famously lost three straight. We saw the Buckeyes run it up late on Indiana last week, scoring a touchdown with under two minutes remaining after TreVeyon Henderson went down untouched at the two. I think if they have the chance this week, they will do it again against their arch rivals. I’m on the Over in The Game.
#8 Tennessee (9-2) vs. Vanderbilt (6-5)
Vanderbilt +11; O/U 48.5
Vanderbilt +11 (-110)
This is the 4th true away game for the Vols; they are 1-2 both SU and ATS. Nico Iamaleava is completing just 62.3% of his attempts (106) for 6.9 YPA, with a touchdown rate of 2.8% and interception rate of 1.9% in those games. And while Vanderbilt is an “not a hard place to play” – Nick Saban’s words, not mine – they have been one of the better teams to bet on this year. The Commodores are 3-0 ATS against ranked opponents, 7-1 ATS as an underdog, and 6-1 ATS in SEC play. Vandy is already going bowling, but you better believe Diego Pavia wants to leave Nashville by ruining the in-state rival’s season. I’m on the Commodores to keep this close.
UTSA (6-5) vs. Army (9-1)
Army -7; O/U 54
UTSA +7 (-112)
The Roadrunners have won three-straight and clinched a playoff berth last week in a win over Temple. The Roadrunners have averaged 45.2 PPG in their last five (4-1). While UTSA has one of the worst pass defenses in the AAC (281.2 YPG; 13th of 14 AAC teams), they have the best run defenses in the AAC (100.5 YPG; 9th nationally). The Roadrunners have allowed just nine rushing scores in AAC play, compared to 17 passing touchdowns. Army was beat up last week against Notre Dame, suffering their first loss of the year. The Black Knights run the ball on 86.8% of their plays. I think the Army offense slows down some in Week 14 and the Roadrunners are live for an upset.
Duke (8-3) vs. Wake Forest (4-7)
Wake Forest +4; O/U 53
Duke -4 (-108)
This is a battle of ACC schools who have lost quarterbacks to Notre Dame in each of the last two offseasons. Since Sam Hartman departed after the 2022 season, Wake Forest is just 2-9-1 ATS at home. They are 0-6 ATS at home this season. Duke lost Riley Leonard, but has played well this year and are on their way to a bowl game. The Blue Devils (7-3-1 ATS) and Boston College have been the best teams to bet on from an ATS perspective in the ACC this year. I’m on the Blue Devils to take care of business against their in-state rival.
Rutgers (6-5) vs. Michigan State (5-6)
Michigan State -1.5; O/U 47
Michigan State -1.5 (-112)
Since the start of 2021, Greg Schiano and Rutgers are just 4-13 in Big Ten play on the road and 12-20-1 ATS in conference play. Michigan State is playing for their bowl berth in their first season under Jonathan Smith. Despite last week’s game against Purdue ending closer than many expected, I think the Spartans win this one and get some extra practice in under Smith. Spartans go bowling.
Outright Underdogs (.5 Units):
Week 13: 1-4 (-1.3 Unit)
Year to Date: 13-30 (-5.36 Units)
(Fri.) Nebraska @ Iowa +120
Iowa turns to Jackson Stratton after Brendan Sullivan went down a few weeks ago. Nebraska finally clinched a bowl berth with their 6th win last week as they sat on five-wins since October 5th. I think they make it two-straight with an upset in Iowa City.
Vanderbilt vs. #8 Tennessee +310
We saw last week how chaotic the SEC is. And rivalry week will only enhance that. An 11 AM local kickoff could make for a sleepy spot in Nashville. Vanderbilt spoils Tennessee’s playoff hopes in the last week of the regular season.
Kentucky vs. Louisville +142
Mark Stoops has won the last five against Louisville, including last year’s debut of Jeff Brohm at Louisville. The Wildcats turn to true freshman Cutter Boley, who played last week against Texas. I think they can win the Governor’s Cup in Lexington.
UTSA @ Army +200
I touched on it above taking UTSA with the points; I believe this run defense can cause problems for Army after a tough loss to the Irish last week.
#20 Texas A&M vs. #3 Texas +164
Texas has just true three road games so far this season (two in the SEC). Texas beat Florida in early November; that’s their lone win over a team receiving votes in this week’s AP Poll. A&M has waited for this game since 2011, and has the pressure to create havoc for whoever is under center for Texas. I’m on the Aggies to cause more chaos in the race to the College Football Playoff.
What are your favorite Week 14 college football bets? Let me know on X! Follow me @DrewRoberts_ for more college football and NFL content
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