Week 11 WR CB Matchups
Week 11 WR/CB Matchups are here! This weekly article is designed to help you make better decisions when setting your lineups.
Key:
Coverage Rating: From PlayerProfiler.com, A comprehensive cornerback efficiency metric incorporating target rate, pass break-ups, catch rate allowed, and fantasy points allowed per snap. The lower values are favorable for the WR, which is why they are in green while the higher values are listed in red/orange.
Opp vs WR: Where the WR’s opposing team ranks in fantasy points allowed per game to the wide receiver position.
Matchup Rating: A Metric that combines the Coverage Rating of the projected primary cornerback assigned to cover the selected wide receiver and the opponent’s team ranking vs WRs in fantasy points allowed per game.
Shadow: A ‘Yes’ designation means the cornerback is expected to be in shadow coverage on the selected WR.Click To Enlarge Chart
Matchups To Exploit
D.J. Moore, Panthers vs Falcons
D.J. Moore has averaged 10 targets per game over his last four games. He has reached 100 yards in each of the last two. Moore is top-10 in targets, receptions, and yards after the catch. He has the lowest touchdown rate of any receiver with at least 600 yards. Sooner or later the scores will come, why not Week 11? The Panthers and Falcons are projected to combine for the second-highest point total off the week so there will be opportunities for Moore to find the end zone.
Moore, who played 100-percent of the snaps in Week 10, should torch the Falcons secondary that has allowed a wide receiver to score 12 times in nine games. Atlanta has surrendered the eighth most passing yards per game and 41.9 fantasy points per game to wide receivers. Despite his production and mouth-watering matchup, Moore is priced at just $6,000 (WR35) on FanDuel and $5,900 (WR25) on DraftKings.
Michael Thomas, Saints at Buccaneers
Michael Thomas ranks first among all wide receivers in targets, target rate, receptions, receiving yards, and fantasy points per game. He is top-three in both completed air yards and yards after the catch. Just like last week, Thomas is the most expensive WR on both FanDuel and DraftKings. But just like last week, he is worth the cost if you’re looking to spend big on a receiver. In the Saints’ surprising loss to Atlanta, Thomas caught 13-of-14 targets for 152 yards and finished as the WR5. He gets a similarly juicy matchup in Week 11. The Buccaneers have allowed the most passing yards per game and the most touchdown receptions by wide receivers. Opposing wideouts average 50.6 fantasy points per game against them, the highest rate in the NFL. Lock-in Thomas as this week’s WR1.
Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, Buccaneers vs Saints
Both Bucs wide receivers are top-five options this week in a shootout at home. No Marshon Lattimore for the Saints.
Evans vs Godwin through Week 9:
Wk 1: Evans (PPR WR80) Godwin (WR32)
Wk 2: Evans (WR49) Godwin (WR5)
Wk 3: Evans (WR1) Godwin (WR64)
Wk 4: Evans (WR10) Godwin (WR1)
Wk 5: Evans (106) Godwin (6)
Wk 6: Evans (9) Godwin (3)
Wk 8: Evans (1) Godwin (41)
Wk 9: Evans (2) Godwin (24)— Alex Johnson (@a_johnsonFF) November 7, 2019
Deebo Samuel, 49ers vs Cardinals
Deebo Samuel played 84-percent of the snaps in Week 10 and saw a season-high 11 targets (24-percent target share). The 49ers will be without George Kittle, and Emmanuel Sanders appears unlikely to play as well. Samuel is just $5,600 on FanDuel and $4,000 on DraftKings.
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Top-5 Most Favorable Matchups
Terry McLaurin vs Jets
49ers WRs vs Cardinals
Courtland Sutton at Vikings
D.J. Moore vs Falcons
Jamison Crowder at Redskins
Top-5 Least Favorable Matchups
Eagles WRs vs Patriots
Kenny Stills at Ravens
Marvin Jones vs Cowboys
Keenan Allen vs Chiefs
DeVante Parker vs Bills