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Week 11 Draftkings Thursday Night Showdown Preview
Week 11 is starting off with the New England Patriots heading to Atlanta to take on the Falcons. The Patriots are coming off a 45-7 throttling of the Browns. They’ve won four in a row and five of their last six with the only loss coming in overtime against the Cowboys. The Falcons were on the other end of a whooping losing 43-3 to those same Cowboys.
This one looks pretty straight forward but as we’ve seen on Thursday Night, anything can happen. The status of Cordarrelle Patterson can change the entire scope of this game. Even with that possibility I’m going heavy on the Patriots. If Cordarrelle Patterson misses it makes Pitts the focal point of Belichick and the defense. I just don’t see the Falcons being productive in this game. I wont fully fade Pitts simply because he’s the only guy but I’ll be underweight. We can pretty much throw out last week with how lopsided it was but I do still lean Gallman over Davis. Davis will see more usage than in week 10 and we’re basically hoping for a few receptions and/or a TD. Now if Patterson plays I like Pitts a bit more and will FULLY FADE Patterson.
Spread NE -7
Over/Under 47
Injuries to Monitor
Jonnu Smith was ruled out of Week 10 with a shoulder injury and is questionable for Thursday night.
Brandon Bolden is listed as questionable with a hip injury.
Cordarrelle Patterson left with an ankle injury that could keep him out Thursday. He was a limited participant at practice so he’s likely a game time decision.
Hayden Hurst also injured his ankle and is questionable for this game.
Captain/Flex
Damien Harris
$13,200/$8,800
Harris should be my captain in most lineups. He’s scored six TDs in his last five games. Being a touchdown favorite bodes well for keeping that streak going. He averaged 16.8 carries over those five games. Atlanta has given up 140 rush yards a game over the last four weeks.
Mac Jones
$15,900/$10,600
Jones had his first 3 TD game of his career last week. Atlanta has given up the 4th most passing TDs this year. They’ve given up the 5th most points per week to QBs.
The Rest
Wayne Gallman $8,400
Cordarrelle Patterson has by far been the most productive Falcon. With him out, Gallman should see plenty of opportunities in this game. He had 16 touches last week with Davis only getting four. Gallman was productive last year while filling in for Saquon, scoring six TDs.
Matt Ryan $10,800
Ryan is grossly over priced due to his limited upside but he’s still one of the few players on Atlanta that’s playable. He has thrown for over 335 yards and two TDs in two of his last four games.
Rhamondre Stevenson $8,600
Coming off a huge week I expect Stevenson to carry some ownership despite Harris playing. Last week he had 100 yards on the ground, 2 TDs and added four receptions. When he plays he’s effective averaging 5.4 yards a carry the last two weeks. You could use both Stevenson and Harris in larger field tournaments to differentiate yourself.
Hunter Henry $7,000
Henry has scored seven times in seven weeks and flashed his upside scoring twice last week. If Jonnu misses this game, I like Henry the best of NE pass catchers especially since Atlanta has given up the 4th most TDs through the air.
Kyle Pitts $9,600
Pitts is averaging seven targets a game, he’ll likely see double digits in this game. The problem is he’ll be the focal point of the Patriots which significantly decreases his upside. His season average is a much more obtainable outcome which is four catches for 67 yards.
Jakobi Meyers $8,000
Meyers finally scored a TD. Regardless of your thoughts on that narrative it has to be a weight off his shoulders. Meyer’s target totals have decreased recently but he still has a 23 percent target share on the season. Atlanta has given up the 4th most receiving TDs so Meyers could actually have his first TD streak of his career.
NE Defense $5,600
NE’s defense has scored no less than 11 DraftKings points over the last four games. They’ve had multiple interceptions in three of those four games. Matt Ryan has thrown four interceptions in the last three games.
Kendrick Bourne $7,600
Bourne has seen no less than four targets in each of the last four games. He’s averaging 15.8 yards per reception over that span.
Russell Gage $6,600
Gage has performances of 16, 0, 13 and another 0 last week. So he’s obviously scoring double digits this week. We can only hope. He will see a decent target share with the Pats focused on Pitts. He’s had an 18 percent target share over the last four weeks.
Olamide Zaccheaus $5,400
Despite a 10 percent target share on the season, Olamide has seen an uptick in production over the past couple weeks. He’s accumulated 41 percent of his receiving yards for the season in the last two games alone. He also scored two TDs in Week 9.
Jonnu Smith $2,400
Jonnu has taken a back seat behind Henry and is coming off a shoulder injury. If he does play he offers a bit of upside at this price due to his after the catch ability.
