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Garrett Wilson, WR, Jets
58.5 receiving yards: OVER
Anybody but Zach Wilson. It turns out that’s really all we need for Garrett Wilson to perform. White and Wilson had a good connection in Week 12 and now they get an exploitable Vikings defense.
Derrick Henry, RB, Titans
85.5 rush yards: OVER
The Titans are going to lean heavily on their best player against a tough Eagles team. While they’ve been the best team in football thus far, the weakness of this Philly team has been the run defense. They’ll get a bit of help with the return of Jordan Davis but that won’t be enough to stop king Henry.
Robert Woods, WR, Titans
36.5 receiving yards: UNDER
Robert Woods has been one of the least productive “starting” wide receivers in football. Treylon Burks is the clear WR1 and Nick Westbrook-Ikine has been getting opportunities over Woods as well. That doesn’t bode well for Woods especially in a run-first offense and against Darius Slay and James Bradberry.
Gunner Olszewski, WR, Steelers
7.5 receiving yards: UNDER
This punt returner is averaging 4.3 receiving yards per game. Come on.
Jaylen Waddle, WR, Dolphins
66.5 receiving yards: OVER
I learned from Joe Dolan this week: If Jaylen Waddle’s receiving line is below 75 yards in any given week, smash the over. So we’re smashing the over.
Geno Smith, QB, Seahawks
271.5 total yards: UNDER
This game isn’t going to inspire much passing. With no Matthew Stafford or Cooper Kupp on offense and no Aaron Donald on defense, the Seahawks will likely play it close to the vest and lean on their rookie running back.
Patrick Mahomes, QB, Chiefs
310.5 pass yards: OVER
This game is circled as the shootout of the week. Mahomes tops 310 yards in his sleep.
Mike White, QB, Jets
32.5 pass attempts: OVER
The Vikings have a potent offense which will incentivize the Jets to lean on their new starting quarterback and the passing game in this one. Never mind the fact they’re down to Zonovan Knight as their top running back.
Mike Evans, WR, Buccaneers
68.5 receiving yards: UNDER
Tom Brady and Mike Evans have been out of sync all season. They both tend to struggle against the Saints every time the two teams meet up.
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