#Project32 – Philadelphia Eagles

In support of: Eagles Autism Foundation
Philadelphia Eagles 2021 projections
On the field we’re united by one objective; victory. Off the field, we are drawn together by an even larger goal: taking action for autism. Through research, advocacy, empathy and unity our biggest strength is bringing people together, so we’re inviting the world to join us. And together, we will make an impact that echoes around the globe.

Nominated by IDP Guys (@IDPguys)
We have some senior members at IDP Guys who work with Autism charities in their free time. I am an Eagles fan and I know they support Autism so it was a perfect match!

#Project32 Menu

2020 Recap

Division: NFC East

2020 Finish: 4-11-1 (4th in NFC East)

2020 Tendencies:

  • Passing Ratio: 60% (8th)
  • Neutral Game Script: 59% (15th)
  • Offensive Scheme: West Coast

Personnel Groupings:

  • 11 Personnel (1RB, 1TE, 3WR) = 59%
  • 12 Personnel (1RB, 2TE, 2WR) = 35%
  • 21 Personnel (2RB, 1TE, 2WR) = 2%
  • 10 Personnel (1RB, 0TE, 4WR) = 2%
  • 22 Personnel (2RB, 2TE, 1WR) = 1%
  • 13 Personnel (1RB, 3TE, 1WR) = 1%

Coaching Room

Head Coach: Nick Sirianni

Nick Sirianni enters his first NFL head coaching job in Philadelphia at the young age of 39 and boasts one of the youngest coaching staffs in the NFL. The only coaches left from the Doug Pederson staff are Jeff Stoutland (offensive line) and Aaron Moorehead (wide receivers). Sirianni has been coaching in the NFL since 2009 when he was hired by the Kanas City Chiefs as an offensive quality control coach. He also spent time with the Los Angeles Chargers (2013-2017) where he would hold various jobs including offensive quality control coach, quarterbacks coach, and wide receivers coach. He then moved on to the Indianapolis Colts offensive coordinator from 2018-2020 before getting the job as the Eagles head coach entering 2021. During his three years as offensive coordinator with the Colts he started each season with a different starting quarterback including Andrew Luck (2018), Jacoby Brissett (2019), and Philip Rivers (2020). Sirianni likes to use 12 personnel so if the Eagles move on from Zach Ertz, then look for Richard Rodgers to step into that role. Sirianni likes to get his players in space where they can create yards after the catch. The Colts were ranked in the top five last season in yards after the catch so look for the screen game and quick game to be a big part of this offense which fits guys like Jalen Reagor and Devonta Smith.

Offensive Coordinator: Shane Steichen

Ironically, Shane Steichen spent his first two years in the NFL as a defensive assistant for the San Diego Chargers. He spent one year in Cleveland in 2013 as an offensive quality control coach before returning to San Diego in the same role during the 2014-15 seasons. He was promoted to the quarterbacks coach from 2016-2019 while also splitting time as an interim offensive coordinator in 2019. In his final season in 2020 he served as the offensive coordinator under Anthony Lynn but there was some confusion in late-game situations as to who was calling the plays. It is worth noting that Steichen played a key role in Justin Herbert’s development in Los Angeles. Can he do the same for Jalen Hurts?

Overall Rank: 29th/32

OL Room

LT Andre Dillard – PFF 59.7, Pass Blocking 59.2, Run Blocking 58.2 *2019

Andre Dillard missed the 2020 season due to a biceps injury and in 2019 only played 337 snaps giving up four sacks and 25 total pressures. He was the 22nd overall pick in the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft coming out of Washington State and the Eagles will need him to make a big jump in year three to keep Jalen Hurts clean and the run game moving in a positive direction.

LG Isaac Seumalo – PFF 62.4, Pass Blocking 77.4, Run Blocking 52.2

Isaac Seumalo enters his sixth season with the Eagles and has been a full-time starter since 2019 when healthy. He missed seven games last season due to a knee injury. Seumalo could be pushed by Nate Herbig who replaced Brandon Brooks at right guard last season and graded well. Herbig was ranked 13th, 16th, and 21st in overall PFF grade (71.2), pass-blocking (72.1), and run-blocking (69.4), respectively. This is a camp battle I will be watching closely.

C  Jason Kelce – PFF 69.6, Pass Blocking 62.0, Run Blocking 79.0

Jason Kelce is the leader of the offensive line in Philly. He ranked as the fifth best run-blocking center in the NFL and brings heart and passion to this group. Kelce was one of several players to speak up in what appeared to be a thrown game by Doug Pederson in Week 17 to ensure a higher draft pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. The Eagles will rely on Kelce to once again be dominant in the trenches in the run game. Kelce has been selected to four Pro Bowls and has been a First-Team All-Pro three times (2017-2019). We will always remember Jason for his post-Super Bowl speech after the Eagles won their first-ever Super Bowl.

RG Brandon Brooks – PFF 92.8, Pass Blocking 85.4, Run Blocking 91.4*2019

Brandon Brooks missed the 2020 NFL season due to a torn Achilles. This was not the same Achilles he tore in 2018 during the divisional round matchup with the Saints. He was selected to three consecutive Pro Bowls from 2017-2019. Brooks graded 1st out of 88 players in 2019 in both overall PFF grade (92.8) and run-blocking grade (91.4). How dominant was he in the passing game? In 647 pass-blocking snaps in 2019 he only gave up 2 sacks and 20 total pressures.

RT Lane Johnson – PFF 71.9, Pass Blocking 83.1, Run Blocking 59.7

Lane Johnson finished as the 12th best pass-blocking tackle in the NFL in 2020. He has been selected to three Pro-Bowls (2017-2019) and was a First-Team All-Pro after the 2017 NFL season. Johnson has started all 99 games he’s played in during his 8-year career. It is worth noting that Lane Johnson has only played a full 16-game season twice in his career dating back to 2015 and 2013. The Eagles will need Johnson, Kelce, and Brooks to stay healthy to have any chance of competing in the NFC East.

New Toys: N/A

Old News: Jason Peters (8/8)

Overall Rank: 16th/32

QB Room

Jalen Hurts (QB9)

Jalen Hurts replaced Carson Wentz as the starter against the New Orleans Saints in Week 14. He led the Eagles to a 24-21 win and finished the game 17-30 for 167 yards and 1 touchdown. The difference was what he did in the run game. He went for 106 yards on 18 carries. The Eagles faithful believe they have their quarterback of the future after Carson Wentz was shipped to Indianapolis. Hurts was unable to lead them to another victory going 0-3 down the stretch. There are mixed reviews on Jalen Hurts as some believe his ability in the run game makes him a potential top ten fantasy quarterback. Others believe he has a lot to prove as a passer. He finished the season completing only 50% of his passes and struggled to work the intermediate part of the field. The belief in the building is that Sirianni and Steichen can create an offense around Hurts that will play to his strengths. There is no doubt defenses will have a lot to think about both pre and post snap. If the offensive line can stay healthy this offense just might be worth watching in 2021.

Fantasy Outlook

Passing: 568 attempts, 64.5%, 3976 yards, 28 touchdowns

Rushing: 106 attempts, 660 yards, 6 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 355.0

New Toys: Joe Flacco

Old News: Carson Wentz (12/12), Nate Sudfeld

Position Fantasy Rank: 10th/32

RB Room

Miles Sanders (RB16)

Miles Sanders was drafted in the 2nd round out of Penn State in the 2019 NFL Draft. Sanders made an immediate impact in his rookie year with 229 total touches (179 rushes, 50 receptions) for 1,327 total yards that included 5.8 yards per touch and a 79.4% catch rate. It was obvious that the Eagles had their franchise back to lead the backfield for years to come. In 2020, he increased his yards per carry from 4.6 (2019) to 5.3 and finished with 867 yards rushing and 6 touchdowns. He did, however, see a dip in the passing game with only 28 receptions and 197 yards. This can be attributed to numerous injuries on the offensive line and poor quarterback play.  With that said, Sanders is hoping to get an increased workload in 2021 as the featured back as he failed to reach the 200 carry mark in his first two seasons. He should surpass that in 2021 and I expect him to see an uptick in the passing game similar to what he saw in his rookie season.

Fantasy Outlook

Rushing: 232 attempts, 1092 yards, 8 touchdowns          

Receiving: 80 targets, 53 receptions, 437 yards, 3 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 272.2

Kenny Gainwell (RB56)

Kenny Gainwell joins a crowded backfield in Philadelphia that includes Miles Sanders, Boston Scott, Jordan Howard, and Kerryon Johnson. Gainwell opted out of the 2020 season with the Memphis Tigers due to the loss of four family members to COVID-19. Kenny was a pre-season All-American after rushing for 1,459 (6.3 ypc) yards and posting 51 receptions for an additional 610 yards as a redshirt freshman. Gainwell is expected to be the RB2 once the season kicks off and brings great vision, footwork, and elusiveness as a dual threat running back. He should be a great fit in this offense and is a very good complimentary piece to Miles Sanders.

Fantasy Outlook

Rushing: 87 attempts, 366 yards, 3 touchdowns

Receiving: 23 targets, 16 receptions, 122 yards, 0 touchdown

Total Fantasy Points: 82.7

New Toys: Jordan Howard, Kerryon Johnson

Old News: Corey Clement (15/0)

Position Fantasy Rank: 14th/32

WR Room

Devonta Smith (WR26)

Devonta Smith put up ridiculous numbers as a wide receiver for the Alabama Crimson Tide in his senior season. He finished the year with 117 receptions (147 targets), 1,856 yards, and 23 touchdowns. He capped off his college career as a consensus All-American, AP Player of the Year, Fred Biletnikoff Award, Heisman Trophy, Maxwell Award, SEC Offensive Player of the Year, and the Walter Camp Player of the Year Award. He set numerous NCAA and SEC records including receiving yards, receiving touchdowns, and Punt Return yards in a single season and will step into the NFL as the WR1 in Philadelphia. He did suffer an MCL sprain in the first week of training camp and will miss 2-3 weeks, but he should be ready for Week 1. Smith will be reunited with Jalen Hurts who was his quarterback in 2017 and 2018 at Alabama.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 114 targets, 80 receptions, 1113 yards, 9 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 244.9

Jalen Reagor (WR75)

Jalen Reagor deserves a mulligan coming off a 2020 season that saw him fall short of expectations considering he was a first round draft pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. What does not deserve a mulligan is the Eagles’ front office for passing on Justin Jefferson. Reagor finished his rookie campaign with only 31 receptions for 396 yards and 1 touchdown. Carson Wentz was so bad that he was shipped to Indianapolis and the offensive line was absolutely decimated. With the addition of Devonta Smith, a healthy offensive line, and Hurts taking over at quarterback, we should see Reagor improve in year two.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 85 targets, 51 receptions, 583 yards, 5 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 139.4

New Toys: N/A

Old News: DeSean Jackson (5/5), Alshon Jeffrey (7/2)

Position Fantasy Rank: 32nd/32

TE Room

Dallas Goedert (TE12)

Dallas Goedert has been consistent over his first three years in the NFL and if the Eagles move on from Zach Ertz before the 2021 season, we should see a big leap in year four. There is no doubt Goedert will be a focal point in the passing game and should be the second option behind Devonta Smith. He provides a security blanket for Jalen Hurts and can wreak havoc in the middle of the field.

Fantasy Outlook

Receiving: 85 targets, 55 receptions, 582 yards, 7 touchdowns

Total Fantasy Points: 155.5

Position Fantasy Rank: 5th/32

2021 Full Player Projections

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Strength of Schedule (SOS): #32 (.449 115-141)

2021 Predicted Finish: 5-12 (Last NFC East)

Philadelphia Eagles 2021 projections

Note: all projections are PPR scoring

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