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Easily one of the best days of the year if you’re a football fan and even more so as a DFS player. We get to stuff our faces and watch three isolated games all day long. There’s some large spreads but the games should be good from a DraftKings standpoint. A three game slate is very different compared to a full slate. Obviously there’s less players to choose from which condenses ownership. It’s a bit of a mix of regular tournaments and Showdown. It’s also good practice for the playoff slates. Game Theory is very important. How do you see the games going? If you think one game is higher scoring than the others then load up on that game. My write up will be a little different for this. I’ll Breakdown the games individually with the players and how to stack the games. Then go into how to construct your lineup to get a little different. It’s gonna be a lot to digest and just like Thanksgiving dinner you might need a nap after.
Bills @ Lions
Spread: BUF -10
Game Total: 54
Injuries to Monitor
Josh Reynolds has missed three games with a back injury. He has practiced on a limited basis.
DJ Chark returned from an ankle injury last week and has been practicing on a limited basis.
Pricing
QB
Josh Allen $8,000
Allen is clearly the top QB on the slate and isn’t really all that expensive. He’s coming off of his worst game of the year. Maybe it was the late arrival because of the weather or maybe it was the injury. Regardless he’s averaged 26.3 DraftKings points per game. He also had back to back games with over 80 rushing yards. Detroit has allowed the most rushing yards to QBs this season.
Jared Goff $5,200
Goff is extremely affordable and gets to return home where he plays much better. He’s averaged 9.92 DK points on the road and 22.74 DK points at home. The Bills are a good defense but let’s be serious they allowed Brissett to be the QB1 last week in this exact stadium.
RB
Jamaal Williams $5,900
Williams has been a TD machine, scoring multiple TDs in five games already this year. He isn’t just a goaline back. He’s getting a ton of work as well averaging 19 carries per game over the last three weeks.
Devin Singletary $5,700
Singletary has been good lately scoring three TDs in his last two games. He’s averaged 15.5 carries in those games. The Lions aren’t great against the run allowing 5.2 yards per carry. They’ve also allowed the 2nd most rushing TDs this year.
D’Andre Swift $5,600
Swift hasn’t really been healthy this year but is saving his weeks with TDs. He’s only had 11 total carries in the last two games but has scored twice. He also had a receiving TD in Week 8. His price makes him worth a play but a lot of his upside seems to be lacking.
Nyheim Hines $4,500
Hines has only played a handful of snaps since joining the Bills. It’s likely that he’s still learning the playbook. It’s not worth putting him in lineups until he sees meaningful snaps.
James Cook $4,400
Cook had 11 carries and 86 rushing yards last week. Granted a lot of that was gameflow but the Bills are heavily favored in this game as well. He’s averaged 6.32 yards per carry over the last four weeks.
Justin Jackson $4,100
A lot of people don’t realize how involved Jackson has been. He played 37% of snaps and had nine carries last week. Both were more than D’Andre Swift. He’s more of a Showdown play but it is important to see his recent usage.
WR
Stefon Diggs $8,000
Diggs had a bad game but still scored a TD last week. He has the 2nd most receiving TDs this season. Detroit has allowed the 4th most receiving yards to WRs this year.
Amon Ra St Brown $6,600
Amon Ra is the number one option in Detroit by far. He has at least eight targets in each of his last four games. He has a 28% target share. The Bills have actually allowed the 3rd most TDs to WRs this season .
Gabe Davis $5,300
Davis is a big play threat, averaging a ridiculous 21 yards per reception. Detroit allows the 5th most yards per reception. He’s also been targeted quite a bit lately with at least seven targets in three of his last four.
Kalif Raymond $4,100
Over his last five games, Raymond has had at least three receptions in each of them. He’s averaged 14.5 yards per reception over that span.
Isaiah McKenzie $4,000
McKenzie played 40% of snaps last week after playing 70% the previous week. He’s only had one game with over 37 receiving yards. He doesn’t have much upside but could be a cheap piece in Allen stacks.
DJ Chark $3,800
Chark returned from injury last week but didn’t play much. On a short week he may be limited again but is the 2nd most talented receiver on the roster at sub $4k.
TE
Dawson Knox $3,500
Knox is coming off a season high seven targets and seven receptions. We saw his TD upside last season and the Lions have allowed the most TDs to TEs this season.
Brock Wright $2,900
Wright has established himself as the replacement for Hockenson. He’s played 74 and 75% of snaps the last two weeks. He’s on the field a ton but not heavily involved in the passing game. He’s only totalled five targets in his last four games. You’re basically hoping for a TD.
DEF
BUF $3,400
DET $2,100
Breakdown
As the double digit spread dictates this game could be a blowout. We have however seen the Lions come back in garbage time on occasion. I will definitely have Allen stacks against this terrible Detroit defense. I like pairing him with Diggs and Knox the most but will have some Gabe Davis lineups as well because of the upside. I expect those stacks to be very popular. Playing Allen naked could actually be an option here and if he gets there mainly with his legs it could differentiate you from the other Allen lineups. Devin Singletary has scored some TDs recently and could be leverage off of Allen lineups or even differentiate you if paired with Allen. I do worry that if they get up early they could rely on Cook late in the game.
As for the Detroit side I think most will bring back their Bills lineups with Amon Ra and/or Jamaal Williams. I like both of them but I do also like Goff in this game. They will have to throw and Goff is far better at home. We still need to see the health status of a number of their receivers but Goff, Amon Ra plus a cheap peice offer some upside with a lot of salary savings.
Giants @ Cowboys
Spread: DAL -9.5
Game Total: 45.5
Injuries to Monitor
Wandale Robinson is out for the remainder of the season.
Richie James is dealing with a knee injury and has not practiced.
Pricing
QB
Dak Prescott $6,200
Dak has three straight games with at least 250 yards passing and multiple TDs. He also has at least three rushing attempts in four straight games.
Daniel Jones $5,500
Jones continues to be a viable play because of his rushing ability. He’s averaged 43 rushing yards per game. He even added a season high 341 passing yards last week.
RB
Saquon Barkley $8,000
Barkley was extremely disappointing last week with his worst game of the season by far. He’s averaged 21.3 carries per game. He has the 2nd most rushing yards and 3rd most yards after contact this season.
Tony Pollard $6,600
Pollard has been incredible and should continue to impress even with Zeke back. Over his last three games he’s averaged 154.7 yards from scrimmage. He’s also scored six TDs combined in those games. I expect him to be the highest owned player on the slate.
Ezekiel Elliott $5,800
Zeke came back from injury and immediately got 15 carries turning two of them into TDs. It was his second two TD game. He has a floor of at least double digit carries and a chance at a TD in every game. The Giants have allowed 5.2 yards per carry which is 2nd most in the league.
Matt Breida $4,300
Breida has been involved but mainly to spell Barkley. He doesn’t get enough work with how talented thr RBs are on this slate but he did score a TD last week.
WR
Ceedee Lamb $7,100
Ceedee has averaged 9.3 targets per game and that’s with only getting five last week. He has a 30.7% target share which is 5th highest this season.
Darius Slayton $5,000
Slayton has back to back games with at least 85 yards. He saw a season high 10 targets last week. He’s averaging 17.2 yards per reception.
Michael Gallup $4,600
Gallup hasn’t been great but seems to be getting healthier. At least three catches in four straight and averaging 42 yards over that span. He is likely the best option under $5k.
Noah Brown $3,500
Obviously less involved than earlier in the year, Brown would only be worth a flyer in Dak stacks.
Kenny Golladay $3,700
Golladay actually caught two balls for 29 yards last week. The season for a player of Golladay’s talent is pathetic but with the amount of injuries the Giants have in the receiving core he could catch a long ball or possibly a TD.
Richie James $3,400
James is banged up but was serviceable and saw a decent amount of targets early in the season when the Giants were devoid of pass catchers. He had 48 yards and a TD last week.
Isaiah Hodgins $3,000
Hodgins has been more involved recently. He has 41 and 29 yards in his last two games. If James can’t go he will get playing time and targets at the minimum salary.
TE
Dalton Schultz $3,800
Schultz has been productive since coming back from injury. Prior to last week where he wasn’t needed in a blowout, he had three straight games with at least five catches and 50 yards.
Lawrence Cager $2,700
Tanner Hudson $2,500
Cager has been the more productive of the two but I don’t know that you can trust either of them.
DEF
DAL $3,700
NYG $2,400
Breakdown
I find this to be the hardest of the three games to project. Dallas obviously looked incredible last week while the Giants were underwhelming. Most people will probably play this as a Dallas blowout as the spread would suggest but these NFC East divisional games get weird.(Commanders Eagles last week) I could see the Giants making this a game. Either way Pollard will be the highest owned on the slate. He is too cheap for what he’s been doing. I will play him but think some ways you can get different with him in the lineup include pairing him with Dak or pairing him with Zeke. Obviously the other option is to not play him which makes sense in large field tournaments. I will have lineups with Zeke and Dallas defense hoping they the bulk of the scoring. Dak stacks are in play but would stay away from Dak, Lamb, Schultz lineups as they’ll be very popular.
Daniel Jones is in play as well with the rushing upside he possesses. He had 79 yards against this defense in week 3. You can play him naked or pair him with Slayton or a dart throw Giants receiver. Many will pair him with Barkley but that has failed to work out much this season. Barkley is the best RB option on the slate and I will use him. I’m staying away from mini stacks of just Pollard and Barkley since many people will get there exposure there.
Patriots @ Vikings
Spread: MIN -3
Game Total: 42.5
Injuries to Monitor
Davante Parker has been practicing on a limited basis due to his knee but was able to play last week and should be a go.
Pricing
QB
Kirk Cousins $5,600
Cousins was pressured on what seemed like every play last week and needless to say the results weren’t good. Throwing out last week, Cousins has averaged 18.3 DraftKings points per game. He’s thrown multiple TDs in half of his games.
Mac Jones $5,100
In his healthy games, Jones has only averaged 229 passing yards per game. He also only has four TDs in six games. With that being said sometimes its the weird plays that get you there on a short slate and Jones wouldn’t need much to pay off his price against a porous Vikings defense. I’d only use him to get different in larger fields.
RB
Dalvin Cook $7,400
Cook hasn’t lived up to expectations but is still an RB1. He’s averaged 15.5 carries and 87 rushing yards over his last four games. He’s also scored 3 TDs over that span.
Rhamondre Stevenson $6,400
Stevenson has at least 18 opportunities in seven straight games. At least six catches in four straight games. He has the 6th most targets and receptions among RBs this year. The Vikings have given up the 7th most yards per reception to RBs.
Damien Harris $5,500
Harris looks to be fully healthy again averaging over eight yards per carry last week. He’ll see somewhere around ten carries with a chance at a TD.
Alexander Mattison $4,800
Mattison has failed to get more than five touches in any of his last five games. Cook has an injury history but it looks like that’s what it would take for Mattison to be a viable play.
WR
Justin Jefferson $8,200
Prior to last week, Jefferson’s last bad game was in Week 3. He followed that up with 10 catches for 147 yards. He has the 2nd most receiving yards and averages 15.2 yards per reception.
Jakobi Meyers $5,100
Meyers is the best NE WR by far. He has a 25% target share. He offers a safe floor at a reasonable price. The Vikings have allowed the 3rd most receptions to WRs.
Adam Thielen $4,900
Prior to last week, Thielen had at least seven targets in eight straight games. He’s been involved but hasn’t had the TD volume we’ve been used to. Belichick tends to try and take away the number one option so it could leave Thielen with more opportunities.
Devante Parker $3,900
Parker returned last week after missing a couple games with a knee injury. It wasn’t a great game but that can be said for the offense as a whole. In his previous two games he averaged 18.9 yards per reception. The Vikings have allowed the 3rd most yards to WRs.
KJ Osborn $3,600
Osborn did have 11 targets two weeks ago but otherwise has only topped five targets once. He does have some big play upside but similar to the other receivers in this range you’re praying for a bomb or a TD.
Kendrick Bourne $3,400
Tyquan Thornton $3,300
Both have big play upside but haven’t been very involved recently.
TE
TJ Hockenson $5,000
Hockenson has been good since joining the Vikings. He has at least nine targets in every game as a Viking. He also has 21 catches for 149 yards. The Patriots have allowed the most TDs to TEs this season.
Hunter Henry $3,100
Henry has two or less catches and less than 25 yards in seven of his ten games. The TD upside we’ve seen in the past has vanished. He’s a dart throw like most low end TEs in the league.
Jonnu Smith $3,000
Smith looks to be the more involved TE recently totaling ten catches for 71 yards over his last three. He has some big play upside.
DEF
NE $3,100
MIN $3,000
Breakdown
This will by far be the lowest owned game but I actually like it. If it was in New England I’d worry more but we’re in a dome so I like the upside a little more. Everyone saw both offenses struggle last week and there’s the prime time Cousins narrative. I’m willing to take a shot on Cousins who has enough weapons to pay off a very low salary. He can be paired with just Jefferson or Jefferson and Hockenson(my personal favorite) or Thielen can be added with one of them for an even lower owned stack. Dalvin Cook is expensive so it’ll keep his ownership down but I’m fine banking on his big play upside.
I’m out on Mac Jones. There’s plenty of QB value and I don’t think he has upside. Meyers is my favorite Pats receiver but I’ll take a few stabs in Parker as well. Rhamondre will be the more popular RB option but Harris is absolutely in play. Similar to Pollard Zeke stacks you could use Stevenson and Harris together at half the ownership. The Patriots defense will be highly owned and I will use them and pair them with the Pats RBs. I also will use the Vikings defense against Mac Jones.
RANKINGS | WEEKLY | DYNASTY |
