College Football Week 7 Best Bets
College Football Week 7 Best Bets
Another weekend in the college football world and we are beginning to answer some season long questions. Oklahoma seems legit after knocking off Texas in the Red River Rivalry. Top teams like Georgia, Michigan, Ohio State, and Florida State remain dominant. And college football coaches are still attempting to master the art of clock management.
We will answer more questions after the college football Week 7 slate. Who runs the Pac 12 – Washington or Oregon? Is USC legit? Can unbeatens like North Carolina and Louisville continue to hold their own? These and many more will be answered this week. For now, here are my favorite college football Week 7 bets.
College Football Week 5 Best Bets: 2-3 (40%; -1 units)
College Football Best Bets Record: 4-9 (31%; -5 units)
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Michigan State (2-3) vs. Rutgers (4-2)
Rutgers -5; O/U 39.5
Rutgers -5 (-110)
Rutgers is one of a handful of teams yet to suffer a loss ATS this season, going 5-0-1. This is their fifth home game of the season and they are 4-0 SU and ATS in Piscataway. Rutgers won each home game by at least 17 points. For the Spartans, they are 0-3 SU and 0-2-1 ATS since the Mel Tucker firing. Michigan State is coming off a bye, but eyes could be looking ahead at in-state rival Michigan next week. Rutgers takes care of business on homecoming against the Spartans.
Massachusetts (1-6) vs. #6 Penn State (5-0)
Penn State -41.5; O/U 54.5
Over 54.5 (-110)
I try to avoid games like this ATS, especially with Penn State’s game of the year on deck against Ohio State next week. But it’s tempting with Penn State considering how apparent it is James Franklin plays to the spread. Instead of the spread, we’ll go with the total. Over the last five years, UMass has allowed an average of 49.8 PPG to Power Five schools. Had it not been for a pitiful 20-3 win for Texas A&M last year, that number bumps to 53.5. The over is 7-2 against the Power Five in that span, and UMass has managed to not be shut out in any contest. It is calling for heavy ran in State College this weekend, but I think Penn State has the firepower to hit this on their own. There will be enough points to go around to cash this Week 7 college football over.
More: Week 6 Draftkings Cash Game Breakdown
#10 USC (6-0) vs. #21 Notre Dame (5-2)
Notre Dame -2.5; O/U 60
Notre Dame -2.5 (-115)
This marks the 15th instance of the above occurring since 2015. To add to this matchup, the favorite is 10-0 SU and 8-2 ATS over the last ten in the rivalry. Rain is expected to be a factor and one school is used to these elements. This will be the best defense USC has played thus far, but the Trojans are hopeful they will get star freshman receiver Zachariah Branch to boost their offense. At the end of the day, the Achilles heel for Lincoln Riley teams has always been their defense. Notre Dame has the quarterback and ground game to cause headaches for this USC defense. The last time the Irish lost a game heading into the bye week was 2016. I think they take care of business against the Trojans this week.
#18 UCLA (4-1) vs. #15 Oregon State (5-1)
Oregon State -3.5; O/U 54
Oregon State -3.5 (-110)
Under 54 (-110)
Since the start of 2021, Oregon State is the best team ATS at home with a 14-1 mark. Their only blemish came earlier this year, where they failed to cover the 24.5-number in a 26-9 win over San Diego State. For UCLA, this is the second true road game for freshman quarterback Dante Moore. They lost 14-7 at Utah a few weeks ago. Home favorites in the Pac12 are 6-2 ATS to start the season in conference play.
The UCLA defense is humming with Chip Kelly. Against FBS schools this year, the under is 4-0 with the average game total hitting at 37 points. No game has eclipsed 45 points. This UCLA defense has allowed the young Bruins’ offense to experience growing pains while still winning games. For Oregon State, they have allowed just 17.1 PPG to FBS opponents since the start of 2021. That number slightly improves in conference play, dropping to 16.9 PPG allowed. Oregon State is much better at home compared to the road, especially the defense. I believe the Beavers handle business in Corvallis while staying under the number.
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